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Gallup state numbers predict huge Obama loss
http://campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com ^ | February 1, 2012 | Conn Carroll

Posted on 02/01/2012 10:09:13 AM PST by Para-Ord.45

Gallup released their annual state-by-state presidential approval numbers yesterday, and the results should have 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue very worried. If President Obama carries only those states where he had a net positive approval rating in 2011 (e.g. Michigan where he is up 48 percent to 44 percent), Obama would lose the 2012 election to the Republican nominee 323 electoral votes to 215.

Gallup ads:

Overall, Obama averaged 44% job approval in his third year in office, down from 47% in his second year. His approval rating declined from 2010 to 2011 in most states, with Wyoming, Connecticut, and Maine showing a marginal increase, and Massachusetts, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Jersey, Arizona, West Virginia, Michigan, and Georgia showing declines of less than a full percentage point. The greatest declines were in Hawaii, South Dakota, Nebraska, and New Mexico.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; bho2012; bhojobapproval; elections; sourcetitlenoturl
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To: nhwingut

Pennsylvania turning would be huge.

Let’s not discount Wisconsin becoming Republican. Governor Scott Walker is hated by the left, but is popular enough to have the advantage in the polls now.


21 posted on 02/01/2012 11:04:34 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: Tatze
Here, I mapped out my 269-269 tie scenario.

Photobucket

There are several on here that could end up in the GOP column, NM, NV, IA, PA. And a couple that could stay with Obama, but does not look likely, OH, FL.

22 posted on 02/01/2012 11:27:05 AM PST by Tatze (I reject your reality and substitute my own!)
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To: Chi-townChief

Barring an economic upheaval between now and November if Romney is the republican nominee we get beat by at least the same numbers as McStain did or worse.

I don’t see anything Romney can do to energize the conservative base at this point. My Dad is a life long Republican since he started voting in the Goldwater 64 election. He is so put out with the party he is planning on sitting this one out at this point. In 2008 he voted because of Palin on the ticket, this time he is not buying the conservative VP con job.

I personally don’t see Romney even picking a conservative for the VP slot. He and the rest of the establishment has shown such utter contempt for the conservatives in the base all through the primaries, so why change now.


23 posted on 02/01/2012 11:45:21 AM PST by sarge83
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To: Para-Ord.45

Personally, I find the notion that a congenital idiot, arguably the worst president in the nation’s history, and a model of Marxist corruption admired by none other than Fidel Castro, might get 215 electoral votes intensely worrisome and an indicator that the nation is very badly scr*wed.


24 posted on 02/01/2012 11:45:30 AM PST by Jack Hammer
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To: Para-Ord.45

Soros and the power brokers on the far left has already given up on Barry, and concider a victory for them a bonus,
a government with Mitt in the WH is only a bump in the slide to destroy the old America that is only a memory to most Americans now, and the cuts and sacrifases that is neccesary to restore fiscal sanety is going to diselusion so many voters that they have agood chance to win next time and continue their war on America, one step closer to sosialist world domination, probably working with the muslim
brotherhood or whomever for a while until they come to blows, and the outcome of that is not to clear to me right now, but it will be ugly. It is clear to me that they are working together now, using political corectness as one of the tools, weather they are aware of the co-operation is not clear, but many are surely not. I se a turbulent future for us, and we better be prepared. load and lock


25 posted on 02/01/2012 12:05:11 PM PST by munin
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To: Para-Ord.45

There’s no way BO carries NC again. So, that’s a 15 vote swing right there.


26 posted on 02/01/2012 12:26:36 PM PST by wbill
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To: Jack Hammer
Personally, I find the notion that a congenital idiot..... might get 215 electoral votes

Exactly.

The problem is not Obama, it's an electorate that would vote for him.

The country can survive a president like BO. 10's of millions who would vote for a man like that, though? Not so much.

27 posted on 02/01/2012 12:32:37 PM PST by wbill
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To: KansasGirl

Thought I saw the $$ was about 4 to 1. If 65:1 ads is right, I want to know Mitt’s ad buyer because he got a great bulk deal.


28 posted on 02/01/2012 12:50:21 PM PST by sick1 (Don't fear the freeper)
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To: sick1

That’s what was being reported today. Newt ran 200 ads. Romney 13,000.


29 posted on 02/01/2012 12:52:52 PM PST by KansasGirl
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To: sick1

Here you go. Google it:

http://www.google.com/search?q=newt+200+ads+Romney+13,000&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en&client=safari


30 posted on 02/01/2012 12:55:38 PM PST by KansasGirl
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To: Para-Ord.45

31 posted on 02/01/2012 12:58:38 PM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working for)
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To: Lou Budvis

Obama’s approval numbers today are one thing but they’re in a vaccuum. They are his approval numbers if the question asked is “Do you approve of President Obama”

On Election Day, if Romney is the nominee, the question asked is “Would you rather have Obama or Romney”. That is a VERY different question.

I think Obama will blow out Romney. Not the 00 election at all....


32 posted on 02/01/2012 1:09:48 PM PST by Personal Responsibility (Obama 2012: Dozens of MSNBC viewers can't be wrong!)
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To: apillar

“Get ready for a party ruled by the likes of Meghan McCain and Charlie Crist...”

Wow, every creepy rino/gop-e you can think of will be the authority on Republicanism.
Watch as they defend OromneyCare,gay marriage,gays in the military,abortion rights,moderate Supreme court appointees...


33 posted on 02/01/2012 1:11:38 PM PST by Leep (It's gonna be a Newt day!)
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To: Tatze
There is no way Obozo can carry the Omaha district in Nebraska and lose Ohio. Not even with Warren Buffet.

Nevada also generally votes to the right of Ohio.

34 posted on 02/01/2012 1:13:08 PM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Para-Ord.45

If Romney is the nominee Obama re-election is assured and it would a bigger victory than the one had against McCain in 2008.


35 posted on 02/01/2012 1:15:28 PM PST by jveritas (God bless our brave troops)
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To: KansasGirl

This dumb site keeps on bashing Romney and then turns around and begs for contributions.Maybe when you get off Romney’s case.


36 posted on 02/01/2012 1:21:32 PM PST by 2007 Crusader (2007 Crusader)
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To: Para-Ord.45

Meaningless.

Voters may be disappointed with Obama, thus the 40 states with the sub-50% numbers.

But they are also an obedient bunch, and when told to vote for Obama because Republicans are evil, hate black people and don’t worry about poor people, they’ll do as directed.


37 posted on 02/01/2012 1:30:01 PM PST by ScottinVA (Liberal logic: 0bamacare mandate is acceptable... but voter IDs are unconstitutional.Oh, let me gues)
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To: Para-Ord.45

Doesn’t mean much. Run the poll with it being Rommeny vs. Obama.


38 posted on 02/01/2012 1:35:42 PM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: KansasGirl

Yep. Let’s not forget who ($$$) we’re up against.


39 posted on 02/01/2012 1:47:49 PM PST by GVnana (Newt 2012 - He Speaks for Us)
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To: 2007 Crusader

So for months now you’ve been behind Newt, up until mid January. Then 2 weeks go by and now you’re insulting Newt and singing Mitt’s praises?

Pretty curious.

Mrs. Prince of Space


40 posted on 02/01/2012 2:15:47 PM PST by Prince of Space (Obama cares a lot about the poor. In fact, he wants to make more of them.)
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