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I expect his lead to double over night after this debate. I think Newt sealed a large, significant win tonight.

I wonder how many points Santorum loses tonight?

In all fairness. I think Santorum had a pretty good night in the debate. But it wasn't stellar. His SOPA answer was poor. Also, he still has a problem with angry man petulance. Will it move the needle for him. I doubt it. The reality of his current status is the biggest drag for him. Newt is now seen as the only conservative that stop Romney in the state. The PPP poll reinforce that. The key statement:

Santorum has the voters most likely to abandon him for one of the more viable contenders in the final 36 hours, with 32% of them saying they could end up voting for someone else. Gingrich is the second choice of 45% of Santorum voters open to changing their minds, compared to 22% for Romney.

In terms of highlight reels - Newt's opening in the debate will get - by far - the most play. This will help him. Overall, Newt had a good night, but no real breakout moment. Romney's poor performance will help. Santorum landed a lot of good punches on Romney tonight, but it's just as likely that Newt will benefit from them vs. Santorum. Romney's performance - as I just mentioned - was pretty poor and it may cost a few more points in the polls/final results.