These tracks aren’t speculation. They are screen shots of the ship’s actual track from MarineTraffic.com. as reported by the ship’s AIS (Automatic Information System). The ship went through that narrow passage (for whatever reason), hit the rocks and then made for the port when the extent of the damage was realized. This required a 180° turn to the south, the ship’s final heading when it sank.
I don’t believe it. You’re saying it acquired this great gash, then sojourned well past the harbor to the north, executed a 180, then got itself hung up on rocks remarkably similar to the ones that caused the gash earlier.
There has to be plenty of physical evidence, one way or the other. They did arrest him.
Or did the ship not make her turn to the north as scheduled, and nearly ran into the island, then 'shot the slot' between those offshore rocks? That allegedly occurred in that long space between the last (blue track) position mark on the WNW heading, and the next off Punta del Lazzaretto, well to the NW of the port?
Where did those Facebook course postings come from, and how reliable are they?