I do not believe Paul is going to see similar numbers in southern states...NH is full of libertarian free-state types that ‘mask’ themselves as Republicans...that won’t be the case in South Carolina and Florida. If Paul drops off by 15 per cent; who ‘picks up’ those votes?
Well, the latest SC poll has it this way:
Romney = 31.8%
Gingrich = 24.2%
Santorum = 19.5%
Pauul = 11.0%
Perry = 6.6%
Huntsman = 5.1%
The three remaining conservatives total 50.3% right now. But Romeny is leading the split field.
All the more reason for them to come together becaue SC is a winner take all. If the split vote goives Romney the win, he walks away with all of those delegates.
Paul voters are not going to any other candidate since Paul voters want a small, honest constitutional government that pursues and non-interventionist foreign policy. Paul is the only candidate that is advocating the elimination of 5 federal department, abolishing the IRS, abolishing the progressive income tax and cutting 1 trillion dollar from the federal budget immediately. No other candidate comes close.