Posted on 01/01/2012 3:23:35 PM PST by Steelfish
US election 2012: Mitt Romney On Course For Historic Double Victory Mitt Romney could strike a decisive early blow in the contest to pick the Republican party’s presidential nominee by becoming the first candidate ever to win both the first two states to vote, opinion polls suggest.
By Jon Swaine 01 Jan 2012 The former Massachusetts governor leads the party field both in Iowa, where tomorrow’s caucuses will give the candidates their first test, and in New Hampshire, where voters go to the polls next Tuesday.
If successful, Mr Romney would become the first Republican challenger in the modern primary system’s 35-year history to win both states. Party strategists concede that such a scenario would effectively end the contest after just one week of voting.
The double-victory would be particularly significant because of the states’ contrasting electorates. While Mr Romney, who made $250 million (£160 million) as a private equity executive, impresses New Hampshire’s fiscal conservatives, he is loathed by some Iowan social conservatives for his moderate stances on abortion and gay rights.
However, while his more Right-wing rivals have risen and fallen in the polls, the 64-year-old has steadily persuaded voters in both states that he has the best chance of beating President Barack Obama, who, he claims, “doesn’t understand America”.
"The president takes his inspiration from the social democrats of Europe, who would try to change us into a European-style welfare state," he told a rally at a packed restaurant in Atlantic last night.
(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...
You do understand that these delegates are no longer committed dont you? That means that if one person wins a particular state, the delegates can split and vote for whoever they want.
It is going to be a brokered convention.
But, I hope you are right, but think you are not, since there is no way Michigan, Ill, Cal, VA, Maine, Mn, and a couple others go for Gingrich.
If Gingrich does not win both South Carolina and Florida, its all over for him. Then, he has to carry at least 4 of the six in Feb, if not all of them.
Sad to say, it is going to come down to money and organization.
The other states are BLUE. And he will already have won even if he doesn't get the following BLUE states:
Michigan - voted for Zero
Illinois - voted for Zero
California - voted for Zero
Maine - voted for Zero
Minnesota - voted for Zero
These are all RED states who voted for Zero. These states will not be nominating the Conservative Candidate.
And again, NEWT WILL WIN VIRGINIA, South Carolina and Florida.
He currently lives in Virginia and popular in the South / RED States.
NEWT is DONE. TOAST
Romney will never have the Republican base. McCain sort of got a pass because we were caught off guard.
ROMNEY will not have the Republican let alone the Conservative base. We will continue to campaign against him.
Zero only wins if Romney is the nominee. FACT
The other states are BLUE. And he will already have won even if he doesn't get the following BLUE states:
Michigan - voted for Zero
Illinois - voted for Zero
California - voted for Zero
Maine - voted for Zero
Minnesota - voted for Zero
These are all BLUE states who voted for Zero. These states will not be nominating the Conservative Candidate.
And again, NEWT WILL WIN VIRGINIA, South Carolina and Florida.
Newt currently lives in Virginia and popular in the South / RED States.
ROMNEY is DONE. TOAST
um... the obvious losers are Bachmann and Santorum which both poll 1% or so nearly everywhere.
Newt Gingrich on the other hand, cannot beat Obama. Newt is very prone to putting his foot in his mouth, and we could count on him to do exactly that many many times over the next 11 months. Not to mention that he is older than George W. Bush. So here we are 12 years after we last won the White House back, and we are actually considering running a guy that is 15 years older than our last successful candidate? Think McCain here. Think Bob Dole. Newt Gingrich as the GOP nominee would be an unmitigated disaster.
Is seeing a Gingrich-Obama debate really worth four more years of Obama? I think not. And even if Gingrich should win, then we're faced with replacing ObamaCare with GingrichCare. That's not what i signed up for.
Right. Iowa caucuses have been around a long time, but the Republicans’ non-binding presidential preference straw vote has only been around since 1980. And Alaska and Hawaii have both had earlier caucuses.
Keep in mind that Newt lives inside the Beltway. The candidate with real Virginia roots is Rick Santorum. But of course neither one is on the Virginia ballot.
He was born in Pennsylvania, Speaker of the House via Georgia, and now lives in Virginia where he continues to be very popular.
Romney will not be the Republican nominee. The sooner his followers accept this, the better for their emotional well being, HA
We were tricked into McCain.... Republicans/Conservatives will no longer put forward a RINO on the National leval, after all, the Tea Party won the 2010 election. Romney will never get any traction on free republic. Romney and his supporters are living in La La land and need to get a grip. Romney will NEVER be standing on the stage to accept the Republican Nomination in 2012, Conservatives will fight against his Rino facade 24/7. Riino Romney will never win the Southern States. They don't like his kind.
Much of the angst at Free Republic derives from the common belief here that our vote and opinions still have any direct influence on who becomes President. Once we accept that stomping our feet and yelling "I hate that liberal bastard Romney!" makes about as much difference to the process as spitting into a hurricane, we can re-focus our efforts on electing state and local representatives (and even some Congressional representatives) who reflect conservative views. The GOP nominating process is not really open to voter input at this time in history.
And bearing in mind who really runs the country, getting fiscal conservatives promoted to senior positions in money center banks would likely do far more good than getting them elected to office.
No “Double-Standard”, I never advocated for anyone to drop out until they were ready to do so, which is usually when the money has dried up and the people have at least to have begun to speak. While I have clearly demonstrated that I support and believe that Newt IS the Conservative and the BEST choice and is the most electable, I have not denigrated the other candidates as have SOME of us have and have made clear on numerous occasions on this site my intentions of voting FOR the Republican Nominee, who I believe will be Newt. Of course most of don’t know who you’re for, just who you’re against.
Newt’s not winning Missouri. He’s not on the ballot, therefore nobody is going to caucus for him.
Missouri is an open primary state, meaning any voter is allowed to take part in the Feb. 7 election.
The state’s actual preference for a GOP nominee will be decided at county-level meetings on March 17, which are open to any registered voter who says they are a Republican. One caucus will be held in each of Missouri’s 114 counties and the city of St. Louis.
People will Caucus for Newt Gingrich in Missouri.
By not making the effort to be on the Feb ballot, Newt screwed himself. The odds of him getting caucus votes is nil.
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