Good. A Christmas present for NJ Republicans.
What does the map due for rat Rush Holt in the 12th district?
Bayonne & Jersey City look worse than past 20 years IMHO.
http://www.njelections.org/publications_doe.html
Steve Rothman was one of the more annoying members of the Judiciary during the impeachment. I’ll be glad to see him go.
I’m shocked that the tie-breaking “Independent” chose the Republican compromise map; NJ Dems got the tie-breaker to pick their plan in 1991 and 2001.
Rothman has virtually no chance to beat Garrett in the NJ-05; if he wants to stay in Congress, his only shot is to run against Pascrell in the redrawn NJ-09, where he likely represents about half the voters. Pascrell is very fortunate that they didn’t append the cities of Passaic or Paterson to the Hispanic-majority NJ-13 (now renumbered the NJ-08) and/or the black majority NJ-10, or else he’d have no chance in the NJ-09 and have to run against Frelinghuysen in the Republican NJ-11.
South Jersey should see no change in the delegation, with the Democrat CD based in Camden growing outward but remaining Democrat and the three GOP districts not seeing big changes either.
I need to see electoral data, but my hunch is that both Holt’s NJ-12 and Pallone’s NJ-06 became a little less Democrat, and thus more competitive for a strong GOP challenger, while Lance’s NJ-07 was given some GOP precincts formerly in Garret’s abd Frelinghuysen’s CDs and should be more comfortably Republican.
Those are my preliminary thoughts, without having seen anything other than a not very detailed map. But I’d be surprised if
this map didn’t result in a 6-6 delegation (Dems have a 7-6 edge, and had an 8-5 advantage a year ago), and we might even see the first GOP majority in the NJ House delegation since January 1999 if my hunch about the NJ-12 and/or NJ-06 becoming more marginal is correct.