Posted on 12/22/2011 3:18:16 AM PST by markomalley
In 2010, the Tea Party helped elect legions of solid conservatives to Congress, statehouses and governors' mansions nationwide. With President Obama vulnerable, this raised hopes that in 2012, they could put a conviction conservative in the White House.
Though many on the Right were looking for a dream candidate in the mold of new stars such as Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., and Gov. Scott Walker, R-Wis., with less than two weeks before Iowa, they're stuck with a group of presidential candidates who are retreads from a different era, insufficiently conservative or implausible.
Though there are a number of reasons for this, the simplest explanation is that it's a legacy of the Bush era. George W. Bush campaigned for president in 2000 as a "compassionate conservative" who believed in using government to promote social good.
Driven by this underlying philosophy, the size and scope of government exploded during Bush's presidency. As his failures mounted, and there was a backlash against his management of the Iraq War, Republicans got battered.
Though Bush inherited a GOP-controlled Congress in 2001, eight years later his party had lost the presidency as well as both chambers of Congress -- and the Senate soon became filibuster-proof for Democrats.
But it also had the detrimental effect by weakening the bench of potential conservative presidential candidates. Between 2001 and 2009, Republicans who were in the typical grooming positions for the presidency got coaxed into supporting Bush's big government policies -- all of which makes them less appealing to today's Tea Party electorate.
Other potential presidential candidates (such as former U.S. Senator and Governor George Allen of Virginia) were defeated in the Democratic wave elections of 2006 and 2008, while few fresh Republicans were elected in those years.
Rick Santorum is the perfect example of the damage inflicted by Bush era Republicanism. The former Pennsylvania senator has often reminded the audience during this year's presidential debates that he was elected (in 1994) and re-elected (in 2000) in a blue state as a conservative.
He notes that he was an early proponent of Social Security personal accounts and instrumental in getting welfare reform through the Senate -- passing it three times because President Clinton vetoed it the first two. This is all true.
But it's his time as a loyal soldier during the Bush years that's causing him the most problems in his presidential bid. Under Bush, Santorum voted for the Medicare prescription drug plan, No Child Left Behind and a bloated highway bill among other big government initiatives.
He endorsed liberal Republican Arlen Specter over Pat Toomey in the 2004 GOP Senate primary in Pennsylvania. And, as the third-ranking Senate Republican, he became the party's liaison to K Street, holding regular meetings with Washington lobbyists.
He came under fire for those meetings when he ran re-election in 2006 -- a race he lost by 18 points. And that trouncing has been the biggest barrier to him gaining ground in the presidential race.
Earlier this year, I asked Santorum why he didn't push smaller government principles more aggressively during the Bush era, and he told me: "I could only go so far because we didn't have a Tea Party movement that was moving the country in that direction."
It wasn't until 2009 and 2010 that candidates who represented the post-bank bailout, purified GOP, began getting elected. And because it takes time for politicians to mature into credible presidential candidates, none of them were ready to run in 2012.
So the root of the frustration that many conservatives are feeling right now is that philosophically, they are a several election cycles ahead of the available pool of GOP presidential candidates. And they have Bush to blame for that.
I mostly blame the media for what happened under Bush. They were relentlessly negative. Remember DJIA at 14,000? Unemployment at 4.7%? Annual deficits at a mere $160B? Yeah -- that was the worst economy since Hoover.
The negative spin on everything the Republicans did between 2000 and 20008 (and beyond!) did a lot of damage. Unfortunately, Republican politicians were too weak to fight effectively against it. Sure, slam them for that.
Bottomline: the online community talks about the Dinosaur Media, but we delude ourselves. The media has been running this country, and selecting GOP candidates, for a long time. They are still doing it.
Santorum is a good man. He should have run for governor of some state and then after a successful term he would have been a credible candidate. He just needs seasoning.
Indeniably true. The bush/clinton partnership was simply a continuation of the clinton administration as is obama, as will be any ‘establishment’ bastich they end up nominating if we don’t fight like hell.
While Bush and Rove have much to answer for, congress is the one who spent the money and made the laws. The Republican congress is just as, if not more so, responsible for what happened to the Republican party. They became Democrats lite and therefore without a party to support them. Democrats had Democrats to vote for and Republicans had no one.
In other words, you were a follower, not a leader.
Thank you! Too many around here suffer from the same delusion, mistaking being able to now stop a few of the thousand volleys from the SRM with relegating them to permanent dirt naps. Things are better for sure, but long from being over.
I blame the media for the mess this country is in.
Exactly! The media tells conservatives that Santorum isn’t “seasoned” enough, or Bachman is too stupid, and they buy it hook line and sinker. If Conservatives would just rally around a true conservative and stop letting polls and the media tell them who to vote for, we wouldn’t end up with candidates no one really wants to get behind.
Place the blame squarely where it belongs...
Next for GOP leaders: Stopping Sarah Palin
Trent Lott on Tea Party candidates: As soon as they get here, we need to co-opt them
What would the media be without the millions who consume their product? The media is in the business of making money. Like any business, they create a product or service and market it to their customers. The media is nothing but a reflection of its audience.
Funny that the GOP derailed right after they kicked Gingrich out as speaker.
Keep this front and center: If Obama is defeated in 2012 by a milquetoast Pubbie who is unable to change the course of Washington DC - and perhaps make conditions even worse - Obama can come back with a vengeance in 2016 for a second term.
Wouldn’t that be special?
There’s a lot of truth in this article.
So should conservatives now accept a centrist or establishment candidate ?
Makes no sense, conservatives should be backing the most conservative candidate possible.
Based on their records, I think most agree that Bachmann and Santorum are the most conservative in the field.
Shockingly - they also have the least amount of big-money lobby-type support. /sarc
Five years from now, I’d like to be happy that the Republican President and Republican majority Congress actually followed through on leading American back to it’s Judeo-Christian roots and this also impacted on all of their repeals, policies, regulations, treaties, appointments, executive orders and legislation. I’d like to look back on prosperity that came from doing the right thing, not simply allowing big-money to make easy money. Given all that, I’m sure I’d be looking back as well at an America that was well-defended from those who would destroy her.
George W Bush destroyed the GOP and is almost solely responsible for Obama. Is still look at him indisgust.
Exactly right! Remarks like that sound like whining. Compare Santorum with Senator Demint, who took a ton of heat for backing conservatives in primaries against establishment candidates.
There are many subordinate reasons why this calamity happened and it is necessary to identify them and assign weight to them so that the important ones can be addressed and corrected.
One such reason can be addressed and could have been corrected, or at least mitigated: It is quite normal for a political party in the sixth year of the presidency to lose the Senate and House seats. In some respects, it was to be expected that this would occur now. Clinton, however, was able to resist this historical trend but those were rather special circumstances.
Similarly, history shows the political parties, after 12 years in power, tend to become arrogant, cynical, and corrupt and that certainly has happened to the Republicans in spades. The voters have just cured the arrogance dimension of this equation but it remains to be seen if the corruption has been rooted out. The "values voters" will tell us in the next election if the Republicans have abandoned their cynicism.
Other reasons are less easily identifiable and more subjective in nature. One goes to the very essence of the character of George Bush. I've long published that he is not a movement conservative, in fact he is not a conservative at all but rather he is a patrician with loyalties to family, friends, and country. His politics are animated not by conservative ideology but by a noblisse oblige which, as a substitute for political philosophy, move him to act from loyalty and love of country. The result of this is that he does not weigh his words and actions against a coherent standard grounded in conservatism, but instinctively reacts to do what is right for family, friends, and country. Thus we get Harriet Meirs, pandering to the Clintons and Kennedys, prescription drug laws, campaign finance laws, runaway spending, and the war in Iraq. The conservative movement is left muddled and confused and the Republican Party undisciplined and leaderless. In these circumstances all manner of mischief is possible beginning with corruption and indiscipline in the ranks. To be effective, a president must be feared as well is loved. A President is more than just Commander in Chief and Chief Executive of the nation, he is the titular head of his party and he must rule it. If Bush was willing to pander to the likes of Teddy Kennedy, what did Senator John McCain have to fear from him? Bush has utterly failed in his role as head wrangler of the Republican Party.
Other subjective reasons for the debacle involve Bush's personal character. He is essentially a non-confrontational man who would rather operate through collegiality than through power. This is reinforced by his Christian belief and he will almost literally turn the other cheek. So, his loyalty to family and friends affects his appointments and produce mediocrities like Brown at FEMA and Ridge at Homeland Security and Harriet Meirs. It makes him shrink from prosecuting the crimes of his enemies even to the point of overlooking real security lapses committed by The New York Times. It makes it very difficult for Bush to discipline his troops and fire incompetent or disloyal subordinates. Instead he soothes them with the Medal of Freedom.
George Bush is a singularly inarticulate man. When he is not delivering a prepared speech, his sincerity and goodness of character come through, but his policies often die an agonizing death along with the syntax. The truth is that Bush has never been able, Ronald Reagan style, to articulate well the three or four fundamental issues which move the times in which we live. One need only cite the bootless efforts to reform Social Security as an example. His inability to tell America why we must fight in Iraq to win the greater worldwide war against terrorism, or how we are even going to win in Iraq, has been fatal to the Republicans' chances in this election. Of course, one can carry this Billy Budd characterization too far and it is easy to overemphasize its importance, but it is part of the general pattern which has led us to this pass. It is a very great pity that the bully pulpit has been squandered in the hands of a man so inarticulate. That the bully pulpit was wasted means that there are no great guiding principles for the country, for the party, for the administration, for Congress to follow, or for the voters to be inspired by. If the voters went into the booth confused about what the Republican Party stands for, the fault is primarily George Bush's.
There are structural problems for the Republicans as well. By the demographic breakdown of the Northeast and the ambitions of senators such as McCain, there was no coherent Republican policy in the Senate. It is in the nature of the Senate that wayward senators are difficult to bring to heel in any circumstance and Bush's inability properly to act as party leader has given Mavericks a green light to commit terrible damage to the Republicans' electoral posture. This demographic trend is destined to get worse and the self survival instincts of what is left of the Republican Party outside of the South will only become more acute and lead to more defections. Other senators, even when not motivated by personal ambition or demographic problems in blue states, felt free to engage in an extravaganza of corrupt spending to benefit their districts and soothe their contributors. There is a regrettable tendency to under-emphasize the demographic handicap under which we conservatives struggle. Here is what I posted, before the election:
Perhaps now is not the time but certainly after Santorum is defeated we conservatives must face the reality that the electoral map is shrinking. We are unable to make inroads into the blue states (these New Jersey an anomaly due to parochial corruption) while we remain vulnerable and virtually all of the border states, Tennessee, Missouri, West Virginia, Maryland (actually a lost cause). Now even the Old Dominion is threatened. Ohio may be as difficult as Pennsylvania after this cycle.
Demographics will soon turn Florida and Texas away from us and, with the loss of either one of them, conservatism has no hope of putting a president in the White House
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1724335/posts?page=17#17
Bush failed to provide leadership on spending. Merely cutting taxes is only one leg of the stool, fiscal discipline must be maintained. Failing to impose party discipline is a grave sin, but Bush magnified it exponentially with the mindless prescription drug entitlement, farm supports, and educational spending. If Bush can have his prescription drug program that nobody wanted, why cannot Senator Stevens in Alaska have his bridge that nobody needed? Bush not only failed to set the proper example in fiscal discipline, he affirmatively set the wrong example of profligacy.
Press bias, says you?. One need only cite the unrelenting hostility of the Washington Post against Senator Allen to demonstrate Republican difficulties in this area. Allen's real opponent was the Washington Post. But this is not new, the Washington Post did the same thing to Ollie North several cycles ago and will do so again whenever it gets the chance. Republicans have been able to overcome this handicap in recent elections, so long as they had an effective affirmative story to tell. In fairness to the Republicans, it is true to say that the hostility of the press has reached even more egregious dimensions as a result of the war in Iraq. The remedy for this is to get a policy and tell your story well. In short, set the agenda, one which the public hears and understands in spite of the media. The classic example of this is Newt Gingrich's brilliant contract with America in 1994 in which he stole the entire agenda right out from under the noses of the drive-by media. I think their visceral hatred of Gingrich has as much to do with this coup as it does with the actual right wing policies contained in the contract with America. If one is not willing to accept the world as it is with all of its media bias then one is ultimately confounded. If one cannot move until press bias is corrected, then one cannot move on until the bias in academia or in immigrant groups is eliminated. The scale will never be balanced and conservatism, too anguished to move, will never find another majority.
While some exit polls say that only 7% of voters regarded immigration as the important issue, I am personally convinced that the percentage is much higher among conservatives and, anyway, the implications for the Republican Party and the conservative cause of unchecked illegal immigration is nothing short of catastrophic. Bush bashing or not, the cold reality is that George Bush has willfully and deliberately failed to to enforce the nation's laws on immigration. Bush has simply got a blind spot here, he wants amnesty and, by God, now he is going to get it because the Democrats are going to give it to him. The only hope for sanity in controlling immigration has died with Republican control of the House. Bush's duty was to enforce existing law against employers who seek unfair competitive advantage by hiring illegals at substandard wages. Now we have upwards of 30 million illegals in America and there is no conservative branch of government that can stop these people getting the vote eventually and, believe me, they will not vote conservative in my lifetime. Bush's stealth legacy to the Republican Party will become apparent as he exits the White House and Republicans remain in minority status for as long as the eye can see. Bush's dereliction in this regard justifies every conservative in turning his face from Bush and many did on election Day.
Lest this become a Bush bashing fest, let us note that Congressmen and Senators are for the most part alpha males (and sometimes bitchy females) who quite rightly should be expected to do the right thing without the fear and admonition of the President. But they did not. The single most appropriate word which identifies the Republican Congress before the election is, "arrogance" - although "greed" must run a very close second. Winston Churchill once said of the Socialist Clement Atley, "he is a very modest man, and he has much to be modest about." Running the gamut from sordid affiliations with K street lobbyists and the Abramoffs of the world, to unseemly earmarks, and continuing all the way to outright venality, the Republicans have much to be more than modest about. The voters have just dealt them their comeuppance and it is long overdue. But elections are blunt instruments for weeding out corruption; the voters wrath, like God's rain, falls on the just and the unjust alike. So honest and incorrupt conservative representatives of the people like Rick Santorum fall with the Cunninghams and the Neys and the Foleys while Democrat Menendez enjoys a pass. While it does not discriminate among Republicans, the voters wrath does discriminate between parties and so their wrath fell disproportionately on Republicans because they are the party in power. This also has been remedied by this election. Finally, in a strange way the voters grim unhappiness with the course of the war in Iraq finds expression in this general repugnance of the corruption and venality and directs it almost exclusively against the Republicans, because they are the party associated with the war. It is human nature to react to an irritant disproportionately when the soul is troubled by larger problems. This identification as the party solely responsible for the war is something the Republicans must remedy in the next two years.
You all can blame Bush all you want. But I have news for you.Democrats are in power. A Democrat has been president for 3 years. I blame democrats and democrat Obama for the mess we are in.
Clinton is responsible for the mess we are in. Clinton let in enough illegals to give them critical mass. Also Clinton signed NAFTA, and the free trade deal with China, grew the government etc.
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