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My point is that I don’t think Ron Paul supporters can win outside of Iowa (which is a pure fluke, IMHO). Giving so much weight to this state is a mistake.

I really at a lost

No Ron Paul

No Obama.

But I am not for anyone.

I understand. But he shouldn’t even be running as a Republican. It’s skewing the primary.

The problem with Ron Paul if he wins Iowa is it will create uncertainty going into NH and SC. I hate to think this way, but he paves the way for a Romney nomination. If Ron Paul wins Iowa, most likely Romney wins NH. By then, the recent rise of Gingrich and to a lesser degree, Perry, will be viewed as futile. These guys can't win it now. We better focus squarely on Romney. Voters will gravitate to the person with the "most" success coming out of Iowa, NH, and SC. That's gonna be Romney. He will finish somewhere between 2nd and 3rd (at the worst) in each of those states.

Ron Paul is going to ruin this for anyone supporting Gingrich or Perry. Or Bachmann or Santorum, for that matter. This is a huge problem and I'm afraid we'll look back at him being the main reason we failed. This is on the back of Iowans and I pray they will realize what they're about to do and shift their support.

See, this is where the "Iowa doesn't really matter that much" sentiment is a problem. If someone other than Paul or Romney had say 40% of the support in successive states, I'd feel a lot better.