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To: SoCal Pubbie

I’m not wedded to my figures, but I did look around and develop the post I posted above. There was information out there that backed what I included. I don’t have the original links now. It was developed months ago, and I have lost them.

What would be helpful, is if you would give me some links that touch on the figures you’re providing. I realize that’s not exactly fair since I no longer have links for my information, but I’d be interested in reading whatever you can provide to refute what I provided.

I note that you went back to 1928 to give some sort of an indication of what the economy was like prior to Roosevelt’s election, but failed to address the dire situation when he was first elected.

It wouldn’t surprise me that the government had gamed the unemployment figures. None the less, you talk of the government gearing up for the war effort prior to 1940, then claim there was still 14% plus unemployment in 1940. Perhaps that was the case, but I’d sure like to see some backing for that claim.

You also stated that there was no actual recovery until after 1945. I guess this is the first time I’m hearing someone lament the government spending gearing up for WWII, because that spending did have a positive impact on unemployment, one of the very few reasoned things the government does spend funds on.

Thanks for the response. I look forward to reading more from you on the topic. I’m not trying to gloss over Roosevelt’s true record, and if you’ve got stuff to provide that brings him back down to earth, I’m all for it.


59 posted on 12/15/2011 9:55:25 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Why back in '88, Conservatives backed Gore in Texas. What Reagan revolution? What laegacy?)
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To: SoCal Pubbie

I hope you understand that I wasn’t trying to give you a hard time with my comments in #59.

My response was made with the idea I could learn more about the era by seeing what you found that might be different than what I came up with.

If you have time, that would be nice. If not, that’s okay too.

Take care.


60 posted on 12/15/2011 11:54:06 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Why back in '88, Conservatives backed Gore in Texas. What Reagan revolution? What laegacy?)
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To: DoughtyOne
Unemployment rates 1920- 2008:

http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0104719.html

As for Hoover, it should be noted that FDR's own son said his father's economic policies were basically Hoover's, simply more sweeping in scope. The man FDR should be compared to is not Hoover, but the much maligned Warren Harding.

Harding faced a severe downturn in 1920. Instead of making things worse, as Hoover, FDR, and now Obama have, he cut the federal budget nearly IN HALF between 1920 and 1922. Curiously, things got better very fast and the Roaring Twenties was on. Easy credit caused the boom that popped in 1929. It's the downside of capitalism that there are boom and bust cycles. The government trying to change that is like old King Canute trying to sweep back the tide. The meddling only makes things worse.

As for the idea that the Depression did not really end until around 1946- 47, I heard that on the radio from someone whom I cannot recall exactly. Maybe it was Thomas Sowell,or Walter Williams. The thought is based on the fact that you cannot judge the health of an economy when all it's resources were being sucked out by the military. Who knows what the demand for new cars was when you couldn't buy one. Fuel, metal, foods of all kinds, photographic film, just about everything was rationed. It was not until AFTER New Deal and wartime mechanisms had been lifted that the economy revived in a normal way.

As for the situation in 1940, you have to remember how bad the downturn was in 1937- 38. The WPA and other makework schemes definitely put people to work. That just didn't do any good for anyone not in those programs, just as today's stimulus has done nothing for those not getting the money. Industry was still failing. By 1940 companies like Northrop were making planes for Norway and Marmon Harrington were building tanks for the Dutch. Our own government was increasing the U.S. military. But the rest of the economy was still sluggish.

Here's an article for you:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/billflax/2011/08/25/no-paul-krugman-wwii-did-not-end-the-great-depression/3/

To highlight just some of the things FDR did that would make him a monster to academia if he had been a Republican were:

Ramming through numerous unconstitutional measures.

Attempting to steamroll the Courts limitations by packing the bench with additional members who would do his bidding.

Outlawing the possession of a fundamental commodity that had been a staple means of trade since ancient time- gold.

Broke all American tradition to run not three, but four times. He in essence set himself up literally as President for life.

Forced relocation of U.S. citizens without trial.

61 posted on 12/16/2011 8:00:48 AM PST by SoCal Pubbie
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