I guess we have to consider what happens after a few primaries and whom are the people still standing. Right now it looks as if Romney, Newt, Paul will be the final three with Romney getting very few of the votes which would have gone to the others running against him. I hope no one “swings” to Romney. To me that means Newt, Paul and Romney, in that order will be the “winners” going into super tuesday. I would give Romney no chance in such an event. Perhaps none of the three will have a majority before the convention. As long as Paul is in the mix, he will not bolt to a third party, which is good. It promises to be quite a convention.
While I have no doubt that Paul will continue to get the consistent 8-10% of the Republican vote that is libertarian, I sinserely doubt that he can ever build on that number. The man has been running for president for 12 years now and he has never been higher. The majority of the Repubican party is rightly suspicious of his insane foreign policy ideas. However, if Ron Paul decides to run 3rd party again (and he would not deny this on Hannity's radio program yesterday), the only thing he will accompish is 4 more years of Obama.
January 3 - Iowa
January 10 - New Hampshire
January 21 - South Carolina
January 31 - Florida
February 4-11 - Maine
Feb 7 - Colorado and Minnesota
Feb 28 - Arizona and Michigan
March 3 - Washington State
March 6 - Super Tuesday