To: FReepers; everyone; All
Posted on 11/14/2011 12:22:24 PM PST by SeekAndFind
I missed this during my travel to BlogCon 2011 in Denver, which I reached by airline travel — an economical and safe choice on a route served by multiple carriers and requiring little government subsidy to use. The competition for this route falls short of that for the Los Angeles-San Francisco route, though, where more than a half-dozen carriers offer flights between California’s two largest metropolises, complete with choices of departure and arrival airports on either end. Despite the lack of need for fast and reliable transportation between the two cities, Governor Jerry Brown told the LA Times editorial board that he intends on requesting the funds for a high-speed rail line — a project whose anticipated costs have tripled while still on the drawing board, and which dwarfs the annual state budget:
Gov. Jerry Brown said Thursday that he will formally request that the Legislature approve billions of dollars to start construction of the California bullet train next year and will work hard to persuade skeptical lawmakers that the project is critical to the state’s future.
In his first extended remarks on the $98.5-billion project since a controversial business plan was unveiled last week, Brown said that the state will have a broad need for the system in the long term and that it represents a significantly cheaper alternative to additional highway and commercial aviation investments.
“As an idea, if you think of California as growing and expanding, then it fits into it,” Brown said at a meeting with The Times’ editorial board. “It is based on an optimistic assessment of where California is going.”
The California High-Speed Rail Authority last week approved a new business plan that more than doubled the project’s cost and a related financing plan that would ask for the first construction money, tapping $2.7 billion in state bonds and $3.3 billion in federal grants.
“More than doubled”? The projected costs have nearly tripled. When first proposed, backers predicted that the rail service would cost $33.6 billion, a figure that eventually won the bonding approval needed it 2008. Without laying a single piece of rail, the costs have exploded to the $98.5 billion figure noted in the article — but that doesn’t reflect the potential for $20 billion in extra costs depending on route “options.” And that assumes that costs don’t inflate further as the project actually continues.
So what will the first few billion in state and federal money buy? Not much:
Rail officials hope the money can cover construction of a 140-mile Central Valley segment from Chowchilla to Bakersfield, though it would not pay for electrification, trains or other necessary parts of an operating system. To actually carry passengers will require more than $20 billion of additional investment in track and equipment, money that the state now does not have.
For $26 billion, the state of California could buy fifty brand-new Boeing 777-300ER passenger jets. All California and US taxpayers will get from the initial $6 billion will be track laid between two population centers that won’t produce any significant transportation demand on their own. It won’t even pay for the power connections to this supposed green-energy project, let alone answer the question of where California — a net importer of electricity, not a net exporter — will get the power to run even this remote segment of track.
On top of this good news, the state is already projecting that its tax receipts will fall $1.5 billion short in 2011. Why pursue this project in the middle of a fiscal disaster? Brown has an answer for that:
Even though the cost of the project has doubled, Brown said it is manageable over the 23-year construction period.
“Lincoln built the transcontinental railroad during the Civil War, and we built the Golden Gate Bridge during the Great Depression,” Brown said.
First, Lincoln didn’t build the transcontinental railroad; the railroads built the line themselves with minimal support from Congress. But Brown misses the larger point, which is that there were no other technologies for efficient transcontinental travel in the mid-19th century. Fixed rail and locomotives were the cutting edge of transportation technology at that time. If we had had airports in St. Louis and San Francisco at that time, there would have been little incentive to build a fixed-rail system at all. Air travel is both more efficient and much more scalable than rail service regardless of how fast the choo-choo travels — and in this case, it doesn’t move fast enough to beat airplanes anyway.
Fixed rail as a modern passenger transportation solution makes as much sense as requiring motorcycle riders to carry buggy whips. It is a 19th-century solution for a 21st-century problem, and one that will probably cost us in debt and subsidies well into the 22nd century if California proceeds with its boondoggle.
He’s an idiot, just like the idiots that voted for him [again].
He closed parks because we are broke.
But there always money for Unions.
Bookmark
RE: He’s an idiot, just like the idiots that voted for him [again].
WOW, you got millions of them in Califronia...
Yeah, but Meg hired an illegal
But it will crate and keep many good union scale jobs. Union scale jobs that vote Democratic agn give lots of money to the party. and that is the total intent. it has nothing to do with transportation. if fact, if you are talking about transportation you have already lost the argument.
If this wasn’t so funny it would be sad.
Knowing Kalifornia, they will ask for an energy waiver so they could use coal, then they will build a huge tunnel for the train to roll through.
Of course they will not be allowed to vent the tunnel because it would put pollution in the air.
After the first person perishes, I can see the headline about how lack of environmental restrictions by the Republicans caused this.
Perhaps all of the corruption and failure exposed in the ChiCom system has been an inspiration to the Governor.
How will California ever achieve greatness without a high speed rail?
Jerry Brown’s request will go nowhere. The GOP-led House is bot going to approve anywhere near the funds he seeks. And without them, the chances of the Legislature approving the project range from slim to none.
California would be better off spending the money to upgrade freeways and building new ones and improving its existing airport runways.
Spending billions on a train to service those well-known bustling metropolises of Corcoran and Borden is not the wisest use of the state’s scarce public transportation dollars.
Its the dollars and cents, stupid. Put the bullet train out of its misery. Kill it!
RE: How will California ever achieve greatness without a high speed rail?
Was the California of the past that gave us Silicon Valley great or not?
Well, the railroad companies did build it themselves, but they ripped off the U.S. taxpayers with fraudulent subsidies from Congess. Nothing changes! They were given subsidies for laying rail at different rates, depending on the terrain. Of course, they greatly overstated the mileage for mountainous grade versus flat terrain. Part of the money needed for the transcontinental railroad was gotten by cheating investors and customers on the vision of infrastructure (towns and commerce) that did not exist - again, nothing changes.
But..but..this is High Speed Rail!
“Was the California of the past that gave us Silicon Valley great or not?”
The businesses in Silicon Valley were built with private money. Brown and the Democrats take credit for what others did.
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