I guarantee you that if Romney wins the nomination, then I’ll be voting for some 3rd party conservative. I’ll not leave the presidential slot open. I will write in if that is the only course left to me.
I do believe, though, that a conservative 3rd party that kept the conservative vote would defeat a liberal and a rino who would be splitting the lib and moderate vote with both of them claiming to be running a “centrist” campaign.
The problem is that many will vote for the GOP “just because”. The voters in this country have become zombies to the two-party system and will be hard to change in the short run.
I will do the same.
Rasmussen had a national poll out today and in the details he said that 12% of Pubs said they will not vote for Romney no matter what and another 16% were not likely to vote for Romney against obama. I was surprised the %'s were not higher, but then a lot of voters still don't know how liberal he is.
If the poll is accurate and Romney loses half of the not likely to group he's down 20% of the Pubs. I don't see him picking up enough independents and Rats to make up that %. If any of the other candidates end up with the nomination I don't see them losing that kind of a %.