Cain takes the lead in GOP race – poll

Reuters ^ | 10/26/11

[Kartographer]

Businessman Herman Cain has pulled ahead of Mitt Romney and now leads the field of 2012 Republican candidates, according to a new New York Times/ CBS News poll.

Cain has 25 percent support among Republican primary voters, compared with 21 percent support for the former Massachusetts governor.

The two candidates were tied at 17 percent in the previous NYT/CBS poll released on Oct. 3.

The new poll shows Cain’s support among Tea Party conservatives climbed to 32 percent in mid-October — up from 18 percent just a few weeks earlier.

[South40]

"Romney never had a chance..."

And La Raza Rick Perry ran the other way crying.

[sodpoodle]

Conservative ‘political junkies’ who discerned the phony early on were in the minority and no match for the media appealing to voters with their lies and propaganda.

Americans are a trusting bunch - but now that a majority realize they were BAM-boozled - they are angry, ashamed and ready to right the wrong. (Well, I hope I’m right)

[justsaynomore]

Herman Cain October Polling (Newest at the bottom)

Perry Plummets, Cain Surges in Positive Intensity
http://www.gallup.com/poll/149924/Perry-Plummets-Cain-Surges-Positive-Intensity.aspx

CBS poll - Romney and Cain tied at 17%, Perry 12%
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/TheRepublicanRace.pdf

Quinnipiac University - Romney gets 22%, Cain 17% and Perry 14%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1655

ABC poll - Romney 25%, Cain and Perry tied for 16%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/rick-perry-slips-herman-cain-rises-in-bid-for-gop-nomination-poll-

finds/2011/10/03/gIQASiJiJL_story.html

National Federation of Republican Women
Herman Cain – 48.9%, Rick Perry – 14.1% Mitt Romney – 13.3%
http://www.nfrw.org/news/20111002.htm

TeaCon straw poll - Cain 77%
http://www.wbez.org/story/herman-cain-wins-tea-party-straw-poll-illinois-92729

PPP
North Carolina: Cain 27, Romney/Gingrich 17
Nebraska: Cain 30, Gingrich 16, Romney 13
West Virginia: Cain 24, Gingrich 18, Romney 16
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/cainmentum.html

Tea Party Nation poll
Herman Cain 44%, Gingrich 22%, Sarah Palin 9%
http://barrington-il.patch.com/blog_posts/herman-cain-wins-another-straw-poll

Herman Cain’s New Hampshire surge found in second poll
WMUR/UNH poll - Romney at 37%, Cain at 12% and Paul at 9%.
Mitt Romney 38%, Cain 20%, Ron Paul 13%
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/65543.html

Midwestern Leadership Conference
Cain 52.6%, Bachmann 12.2%, Romney 11.1%
http://dailycaller.com/2011/10/09/cain-dominates-midwestern-leadership-conference-straw-poll/

Gallup
Romney 20%, Cain 18%, Perry 15%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/149990/Cain-Surges-Nearly-Ties-Romney-Lead-GOP-Preferences.aspx

Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Among GOP leaning adults - 22%, 20%, 12%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_100211.html

The poll found Cain topping Obama by a narrow 43%-41%, Cain gets 24% of the African-American respondents.
http://pollposition.com/2011/10/10/cain-edging-obama/

Cain Leads South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary
Cain 26%, Romney 25%, Perry 15%
http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Cain leads Iowa caucus
Cain has 30% to Mitt Romney’s 22%, Ron Paul’s 10%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/iowa/

Cain leads National Poll
Cain 30%, Romney 22%, Gingrich 15%
www.businessinsider.com/shock-poll-herman-cain-leads-gop-nationally-2011-10

NBC/WSJ poll: Cain now leads GOP pack
Cain 27% Romney 23% Perry 16%
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44881446/ns/politics-decision_2012/

Lightning strikes twice: Cain 27, Romney 23, Perry 16, Paul 11
http://hotair.com/archives/2011/10/12/lightning-strikes-twice-cain-27-romney-23-perry-16-paul-11/

Cain Leading GOP Field in Florida
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/blog/herman-cain-leading-gop-2012-field-florida

Cain Leads GALLUP poll (Cain 23%; Romney/Perry at 18%)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150134/Romney-Competitive-Top-GOP-Rivals-Among-Conservatives.aspx

Cain, not Romney, is now the favorite to win the GOP nomination
http://dailycaller.com/2011/10/11/cain-not-romney-is-now-the-favorite-to-win-the-gop-nomination/

Economist/YouGov poll (Herman Cain 33%, Mitt Romney 18%)
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/20111011econToplines.pdf

Cain leads SC Republican Primary (Cain 32%, Romney 16%, Perry 12%)
http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/government/elections/2011-10-17/cain-leads-south-carolina-republican-primary-

race?v=1318813096

Florida Times Union/Morris Poll (Romney 32%, Cain 30%, Gingrich 11.7%, Perry 2.9%, Paul 2.7%)
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69112295/Florida-Presidential-Poll-from-Morris-News

IBOPE Zogby Poll (Cain 45%, Romney 21%, Rick Perry 7%, Bachmann, 1%)
http://www.zogby.com/news/2011/10/17/ibope-zogby-poll-cain-continues-pull-away-perry-bachmann-fading/

PPP
Iowa: 26% Cain, 18% Romney, 12% Gingrich, 11% Bachmann, 10% Paul, 6% Perry, 1% Huntsman, 0% Santorum
New Hampshire: 39% Romney, 24% Cain, 11% Paul, 5% Bachmann, 5% Gingrich, 5% Huntsman, 2% Perry, 0%

Santorum

Ohio poll: Cain takes lead in GOP presidential race (Cain 34 Romney 19)
http://www.daytondailynews.com/blogs/content/shared-

gen/blogs/dayton/ohiopolitics/entries/2011/10/18/ohio_poll_cain_takes_lead_in_g.html

NBC News/Marist Poll 2012 South Carolina (Cain 30%, Romney 26%, Perry 9%, Gingrich 6%)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2795021/posts

Azimuth Poll - Texas Primary (Cain 33%, Perry 18%, Romney 7%)
http://www.fontcraft.com/azimuth/?p=113

Cain leads Nevada GOP poll (Cain 31%, Romney 29%, Gingrich 20%, Paul 10%, Perry 4%)
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/oct/21/cain-tops-field-again-nevada-gop-straw-poll/

Illinois GOP Poll (Cain 23.4%, Romney 20.6%, Gingrich 7.6%, Perry 7.2%, Paul 6.6%)
http://illinoisreview.typepad.com/illinoisreview/2011/10/illinois-gop-voters-prefer-cain-in-siu-poll.html

IOWA - University of Iowa poll: Cain 37% Romney 27% Ron Paul 12% Perry 6%
http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2011/october/102111Hawk%20Poll%20Topline.pdf

Civitas Poll: Cain Leads Obama in N.C. (46% to 41%)
http://www.nccivitas.org/2011/civitas-poll-cain-leads-obama-in-n-c/

Cain Trounces Romney in head to head matchup (Cain 39%, Romney 19%, Gingrich 12%, Paul 9%, Perry 8%)
http://www.zogby.com/news/2011/10/25/ibope-zogby-poll-cain-trounces-romney-head-head-matchup/

Ohio - (Cain 28%, Romney 23%, Paul 8%, Gingrich 7%, Perry and Bachman 4%)

Wisconsin - (Cain’s 30%, Romney 18%, Gingrich/Perry, 12%, Paul 8%, Bachman 5%)
Nevada - (Romney 29% , Cain 28%, Gingrich 15%, Paul 7%, Perry 6%)
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/another-good-week-for-cain.html

Herman Cain leads CBS/NYT poll (Cain 25%, Romney 21%, Gingrich 10%, Paul 8%, Perry)
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20125120-503544/herman-cain-tops-mitt-romney-in-latest-cbs-nyt-poll/

[dools0007world]

I find your myopia interesting. Are you telling me anyone of the rest of the Pubbie/conservastive pres. primary field would not give their eye teeth to be in Cain’s position right now?

Try something sweet and give up the sour grapes you’re sucking on.

[St. Louis Conservative]

Cain is a salesman, and I guess was a pretty solid businessan, but he’s not a politician......and I’m sorry to say folks, you MUST be a good politician to win elections, and if you don’t win, what the f**k is the point? There’s no points for effort. Someone wins and someone loses. Obama will be playing to win, and we need a seasoned politician to beat him. That being said, we want the most conservative possible politician to beat him. In my view, that is Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich. I know that many folks around do not like Romney, and to be honest, he ain’t my favorite either, but he is INFINITELY better than Obama, and any conservative who does not support Romney over Obama is giving aid and support to the re-election of Obama. It really is that simple.

I have always liked Newt, despite the fact that he has a huge ego and enjoys self-promotion. I am sensing a slow, but steady consolidation of support to his direction. I would love for him to re-emerge, and would rather have him over Romney.

Perry is done - we do not want a Bush redux. He is too easy to caricature, and I don’t want any distractions away from Obama’s record and the economy.

[Kartographer]

" I am sensing a slow, but steady consolidation of support to his direction."

Are you sure it isn't gas?

And which Newt will we get the Contract with America Newt or the Global Warming Kumbaya one?

[St. Louis Conservative]

I think you’re reaching if you think Newt would push for cap n trade if elected. The GOP is overwhelmingly against that, and Newt isn’t stupid. I think appearing with Pelosi was a cynical ploy to boost his approval ratings. I don’t really think he’s a supporter of cap n tax.

[DoctorBulldog]

It’s that whole King Saul thing all over again: The people said they wanted a king. Even when told that their wealth would be redistributed by the king (hey, it’s in the Bible) and they would no longer own anything, they still insisted on a king.

So, God gave them King Saul, and they suffered greatly. All the while, God was preparing a new, better king—King David!

Cheers

[Mr Rogers]

Is that what you were saying when Perry leaped up in the polls?

This doesn’t mean Cain is going to coast to the nomination. It does spell big trouble for Perry, because his strength was that he, supposedly, was the conservative who could win support for everyone. But when someone goes up, and THEN way down, it spells trouble.

[justsaynomore]

“And which Newt will we get the Contract with America Newt or the Global Warming Kumbaya one?”

That is why I wouldn’t want Gingrich at the top of the ticket. I don’t trust that he is back to his conservative roots.

In one of he debates, when Newt was asked about Education, his reply was about giving K-12 schools pell grants. PELL GRANTS? How can anyone thing that throwing more money at schools is going to fix anything? It costs me less than $1000 per kid to homeschool my kids, but I pay my county $10k per kids for them to teach kids. And you know the vast majority of that money isn’t going to the teachers. The problem with schools IS the government. We have to get government out of the way and put control of education back into the hands of the parents and teachers.

But I digress... point is, I think Newt still has some shades of big spender in him...

[Westbrook]

> These times call for a citizen patriot, not a career politician

Nobody has said it better.

I completely agree.

> Herman Cain for President!!!

Herman Cain for President!!!

Fixed it. :)

[Brookhaven]

Ronmney is the candidate most likely to LOSE to Obama.

Romney, like McCain, doesn’t present enough of a clear cut difference between himself and Obama.

Romney cannot go after Obama on any position, becuase he has flip-flopped so much in the past. No matter what Romney says to criticise Obama, someone can dig up an old tape of Romney saying the exact opposite and sounding like he agrees with Obama’s position.

Romney is the candidate most likely to LOSE to Obama.