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Another ballpark sanity-check for the national 'averages' could be to look at where these candidates stand when using a composite of the most recent STATE polls.

This could be done using the SEVEN STATE polls taken LAST WEEK; Texas, and six others.

One could assume those might represent the country as a whole pretty well, since these included TWO super liberal BLUE states (NH and HI) four battleground purple states ( IA OH FL SC) and one red state (TX)
If anything, the rest of the country might even lean MORE toward Cain as a whole.



I averaged these latest state polls from LAST WEEK to determine a composite, as follows:

  Sample  Cain  Romney Gingrich Paul Perry Bachman Huntsman Santorum Spread
U.S. COMPOSITE 3449 GOP 30.7 22.2 9.1 8.5 7.7 5.2 2.0 unknown Cain +8.5
TX 844 GOP 33 7 5 19 18 1 3 1 Cain +14
OH 500 GOP 34 19 14 7 5 6 1 1 Cain +15
HI 293 GOP 36 24 8 4 8 6 1 1 Cain +12
SC 476 GOP 32 16 8 6 12 6 1 NotAsked Cain +16
FL 505 GOP 30.2 32.6 11.7 2.7 2.9 1.6 2 NotAsked Romney +2.4
IA GOP RV 26 18 12 10 6 11 1 NotAsked Cain +8
NH 409 GOP 24 39 5 11 2 5 5 NotAsked Romney +15
 
  Sample  Cain  Romney Gingrich Paul Perry Bachman Huntsman Santorum
U.S. ZOGBY 1214 GOP 45 21 6 8 7 1 3 3


I also show Zogby for comparison.... RealClearPolitics does not like them because they are an online poll.
But Zogby has 10% fewer 'undecided's than telephone polls... probably because those online pay closer attention to politics. ALSO, I see Michele B is low in the zogby and higher in the nationals, so it would seem Zogby relies more on men because more men use computers.
24 posted on 10/24/2011 11:35:02 PM PDT by Future Useless Eater (Chicago politics = corrupted capitalism = takeover by COMMUNity-ISM)
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To: Future Useless Eater

Listening to Fox today, I was simply flabbergasted at the routine distortions coming from talking heads AND anchors about Herman Cain.
Friday, Martha McCallum interviewed Herman Cain and asked him some very point blank questions which he answered just as pointedly and honestly as ever I heard ANY candidate answer, yet tonight subbing for Greta, she flat out lied and said that Herman Cain’s position on abortion was unclear, and repeated the talking points we keep hearing over and over. I was so furious, I shut off the TV and am seriously considering eliminating Fox as my channel for news.
They did this to Sarah Palin, now they are doing it to Cain, and it is just maddening.


29 posted on 10/25/2011 12:11:49 AM PDT by MestaMachine (obama kills)
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