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Doomed German Satellite to Fall to Earth This Weekend
Space.com ^ | 10-21-2011 | Denise Chow

Posted on 10/21/2011 12:50:44 PM PDT by Red Badger

A defunct German satellite is expected to fall to Earth this weekend, with experts predicting that up to 30 big pieces of the junked spacecraft could hit the planet. But exactly when and where the satellite will fall remains a mystery.

The 2.7-ton Roentgen Satellite, or ROSAT, will likely plummet to Earth on Saturday or Sunday (Oct. 22 or 23), according to the latest update from the German Aerospace Center.

"Currently, the re-entry date can only be calculated to within plus/minus one day," agency officials said in a statement. "This time slot of uncertainty will be reduced as the date of re-entry approaches. However, even one day before re-entry, the estimate will only be accurate to within plus/minus five hours."

ROSAT weighs about 5,348 pounds (2,426 kilograms) and launched into orbit in June 1990 as part of a joint mission by Germany, the United States and the United Kingdom. In 1998, the satellite's star tracker failed, which caused its X-ray sensors to point directly at the sun. This permanently damaged the spacecraft, and ROSAT was officially decommissioned in February 1999. [Photos of Doomed ROSAT Satellite]

The falling German satellite's impending plunge through the atmosphere comes about a month after an old NASA climate satellite also fell uncontrolled to Earth, in what was a much publicized event. The Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) splashed into the Pacific Ocean, well away from the North American coastline, on Sept. 24.

The ROSAT spacecraft is smaller than the UARS satellite, which was about the size of a school bus and weighed about 6 1/2 tons. Still, German space officials expect ROSAT to drop debris along a 50-mile (80-km) stretch of the Earth's surface.

The satellite's orbit reaches from the latitudes of 53 degrees north and south, which means ROSAT could fall anywhere in an area stretching from Canada to South America. While officials have stated that there is a 1-in-2,000 chance that a piece of ROSAT could strike someone somewhere on Earth, the odds of any debris landing in a densely populated area are remote.

Germany's X-ray ROSAT observatory is expected to break up as it falls to Earth, but some large pieces are expected to survive the intense heat of re-entry. Up to 30 pieces of debris, totaling 1.9 tons (1.7 metric tons), could reach the Earth's surface, German aerospace officials said. These fragments will likely be pieces of the satellite's heat resistant mirrors and ceramic parts.

Mission controllers are actively tracking the satellite as its orbit gradually decays, but officials will not be able to make more precise determinations of when and where the satellite will fall until a few hours before ROSAT impacts the Earth.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Germany; Technical
KEYWORDS: debris; germansatellite; germany; reentry; rosat; satellite; satellitejunk; spacejunk; xrayobservatory
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To: Hodar

Let him go, he’s on a roll.


41 posted on 10/21/2011 6:54:43 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: ken5050

Greece is the perfect target for landfall...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Or landfill.


42 posted on 10/21/2011 7:30:06 PM PDT by loungitude (The truth hurts.)
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To: Red Badger
It would be a tragedy if a piece landed on Soylent Green Girl.
43 posted on 10/21/2011 7:33:22 PM PDT by doug from upland (Just in case, it has been reserved: www.TheBitchIsBack2012.com)
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To: Red Badger

Can this satellite possibly be saved? I would hate to see it crash to earth for no good reason. But if it does hit earth, could it possibly fall into on of the areas where OWS is camping out?


44 posted on 10/21/2011 8:20:31 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (Herman Cain 2012)
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To: Red Badger

Will it howl like a Stuka?


45 posted on 10/21/2011 8:22:14 PM PDT by Thrownatbirth (.....Iraq Invasion fan since '91.)
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To: Red Badger

"Oh my God, they killed Kenny!"

46 posted on 10/21/2011 8:22:28 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Thrownatbirth

Or be playing “Ride of the Valkyries.”


47 posted on 10/21/2011 8:23:39 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Red Badger

There’s one or two co-workers that could use a satellite drop-in.


48 posted on 10/21/2011 8:29:57 PM PDT by Excuse_My_Bellicosity (Liberalism is a social disease.)
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To: doug from upland

From the looks of the bling on her she’ll be one of the eaten.


49 posted on 10/21/2011 8:49:01 PM PDT by this_ol_patriot (Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on me, a sinner)
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To: dfwgator

50 posted on 10/21/2011 8:49:01 PM PDT by massmike (Massachusetts:Stopped hanging witches;started electing Kennedys.Coincidence?)
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To: Red Badger

"Put on the damn helmet."

51 posted on 10/21/2011 9:47:08 PM PDT by theDentist (fybo; qwerty ergo typo : i type, therefore i misspelll)
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To: Red Badger

OCCUPY ROSAT


52 posted on 10/21/2011 10:22:24 PM PDT by alancarp (Liberals are all for shared pain... until they're included in the pain group.)
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To: Revolting cat!

So Bluto Blutarsky was kinda right when he said...

“What? Over? Did you say “over”? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!”


53 posted on 10/21/2011 10:58:08 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Excuse_My_Bellicosity

“There’s one or two co-workers that could use a satellite drop-in.”

Like this one?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fgTyiaDmytw


54 posted on 10/21/2011 11:02:30 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Red Badger

55 posted on 10/22/2011 4:31:25 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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To: Red Badger
ROSAT LIVE ON TWITTER
56 posted on 10/22/2011 4:58:43 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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To: Revolting cat!
Germans Bombed Pearl Harbor?
57 posted on 10/22/2011 5:18:31 AM PDT by Vaquero ("an armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: Red Badger
Looks like splash down Sun or Mon per this chart......


58 posted on 10/22/2011 5:44:38 AM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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To: Evil Slayer

According to the ROSAT website their current prediction says this.

http://www.dlr.de/dlr/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-10424/

ROSAT - latest news

Last update: 21 October 2011, 20:42 UTC (21:42 CEST)
Re-entry of ROSAT currently expected between 22 October 2011, 18:00 UTC (20:00 CEST) and 23 October 2011, 12:00 UTC (14:00 CEST).

This would put it between 22OCT2011/11:00am PDT(2:00pm EDT) and 23OCT2011/5:00am PDT (8:00am EDT) for the USA.

Current altitude of ROSAT as I post this is about 111 miles.


59 posted on 10/22/2011 6:23:24 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Red Badger

60 posted on 10/22/2011 6:25:00 AM PDT by reg45 (I'm not angry that Lincoln freed the slaves. I'm angry that Franklin Roosevelt bought them back.)
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