Posted on 10/19/2011 8:45:24 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
NBC News/Marist Poll 2012 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary
Potential Republican primary electorate (POTREP=1): n=992, MOE +/-3.1%; Likely Voters: n=639, MOE +/-3.9%
Even Texas conservatives don’t care all that much for Perry.
>> “The Left and the GOP Establishment is in overdrive trying to Palin-ize Cain.” <<
.
Can’t imagine why they’d do that; the more like Palin he gets, the more votes he gets.
A fair assessment. Romney's situation isn't much different from McCain's in 2008. McCain, for example, never captured a majority in any Republican primary until we got to Arizona -- his home state, by 56/44 over Huckabee, the only remaining contender after McCain had already clinched the nomination.
However, McCain was working with a stacked deck. Most of the early primaries were winner-take-all. And, even though McCain never got a majority of the voters, he won all the delegates.
This year, though, it's different: most of the early states have changed to proportional distribution of the delegates. Consequently, even if Romney gets the highest percentage of the vote, he'll get only an equivalent percentage of the delegates.
This situation could well result in the primaries failing to produce a winner -- come convention time, nobody would have a majority of the delegates. And the convention would be forced to select a nominee.
Such a nominee would not necessarily have to be from the current list of candidates.
Right now, that looks like an optimum outcome.
He’s ahead (Cain) in most every poll, yet the Yahoo headline today talked about the Frontrunner being Romney.
this poll is old. real clear politics shows the dates of polls. The Insider advantage poll from that same state is newer
I’m so glad Cain is doing so well, and also glad Bachmann is holding her own.
From my automatic email from Michele Bachmann:
“snip ....
Our government is robbing the
> households of Americans in order to pay the costs for illegal
> immigrants. Each year illegal immigrants cost our country $113
> billion in YOUR tax dollars, snip
>
> We certainly cannot
> count on our own president to turn this around because President
> Obama has turned a blind eye to the issue of immigration, in
> fact, even ignoring the fact that his own aunt and uncle are
> living in the United States illegally!
snip
>
> Unlike Rick Perry, I will end magnet
> programs that bring illegals to this country, and unlike Romney I
> do not support amnesty.
snip
>
> This past Saturday, I
> became the first candidate to sign a pledge that I will build a
> double-walled fence along our border by a certain date.”
If she doesn’t win the GOP nomination, wouldn’t she make a great Speaker of the House!
And, she also brought out some serious weaknesses in two of the front runners, Romney and Perry.
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