Posted on 10/18/2011 1:47:02 PM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
PPP (D) Ohio 2012 GOP Primary Survey
- Herman Cain 34% [10%] (13%)
- Mitt Romney 19% [20%] (23%)
- Newt Gingrich 14% [8%] (16%)
- Ron Paul 7% [8%] (13%)
- Michele Bachmann 6% [14%] (11%)
- Rick Perry 5% [21%]
- Jon Huntsman 1% [1%] (0%)
- Rick Santorum 1%
- Gary Johnson 0%
- Someone else/Not sure 12% [16%] (18%)
Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
- Strongly committed to that candidate 29%
- Might end up supporting someone else 71%
Second Choice
- Herman Cain 17%
- Newt Gingrich 14%
- Mitt Romney 13%
- Michele Bachmann 11%
- Rick Perry 10%
- Ron Paul 5%
- Jon Huntsman 1%
- Rick Santorum 1%
- Gary Johnson 1%
- Someone else/Not sure 27%
If the Republican race for President came down to Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, who would you vote for?
- Herman Cain 50%
- Mitt Romney 36%
If the Republican race for President came down to Herman Cain and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
- Herman Cain 58%
- Rick Perry 24%
If the Republican race for President came down to Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
- Mitt Romney 50%
- Rick Perry 35%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Herman Cain 68% [41%] / 13% [20%] {+55%}
- Newt Gingrich 56% (42%) {46%} [53%] / 32% (34%) {29%} [27%] {+24%}
- Mitt Romney 55% [52%] (55%) {53%} [53%] / 33% [30%] (25%) {26%} [25%] {+22%}
- Michele Bachmann 46% [52%] / 32% [26%] {+14%}
- Rick Perry 40% [50%] / 42% [15%] {-2%}
- Ron Paul 32% / 49% {-17%}
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
- Yes 33%
- No 54%
Survey of 500 usual Republican primary voters was conducted October 13-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [41%] (38%) {34%} Very conservative; 36% [38%] (39%) {46%} Somewhat conservative; 18% [16%] (17%) {16%} Moderate; 7% [4%] (4%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (2%) {1%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 28-30, 2010 are in parentheses.
This IS good.
I couldn’t be happier to see Romney and Perry going at each other like a couple of grade school boys on the playground last night. First, that’s what’s getting the most post-debate media attention, leaving Cain free to keep flying under the radar where he’s been so effective. It’s taken a lot of the front-runner heat off of him.
Second, Perry and Romney can keep slugging it out, landing the occasional body blow, and taking each other down a point or two every time they do. Third, Romney and Perry have a lot more money in their war chests than Cain. Let them spend a bunch of it on running negative campaign ads against each other, which helps level the playing field with Cain’s campaign war chest.
This really could work.
Here’s an interactive map that you can play with
Click on the R next to Republican and you can choose your candidate.
I like the debates. It gives us a chance to see how these people hold up under pressure. We get to see them when they should be at their best, but we also get to see them when things don’t go their way. Its a great window. jmo
your whole post is spot on. I would add that the moderates or independents may not like either of the ‘bickersons’ thus sending a few more supporters Cain and Newt’s way.
Everyone says “Romney looks presidential.”
He did not look too presidential when he ran to the ‘hall monitor’ for help shutting Perry up. If he can’t handle by himself someone interrupting him, he’s not presidential material.
Neither one of those doofuses looked presidential.
You can’t be too sure about Newt. His IQ is about 3 times that of his nearest opponent. Have you noticed the quiet but steady climb in the last two weeks. He may be sitting back watching the rest destroy each other before REALLY entering the fray. When he speaks, it’s succinct, to the point and non-confrontational. Never count this guy out.
If a retail sales tax is automatically a VAT, that means 40+ states in the Union have VAT taxes and don’t even know it.
Get my drift? Herman Cain recommended a retail sales tax at the federal level. He never recommended a VAT tax.
PPP...Perry Polling Puny.
hooray! for cain.
PPP is? EVERYONE is. Cain gets more free press than anyone outside of Obama. They’re drooling over this guy, who will look like a crotchety old man when lined up across from Obama. I’m not saying I’d vote based upon that, but given a choice between the two solely on the have-a-beer-with factor, there are a lot of people who will not be so sure about hangin’ with Herman.
I’m noticing the same thing. To me, taking all the recent polls in totality, it looks like there are four tiers right now:
1) Cain/Romney
2) Perry/Gingrich/Paul
3) Santorum/Bachman
4) Lost causes (Huntsman, Gary Johnson, etc.)
I don’t see Cain or Romney getting much above 30% for a bunch of reasons. Perry seems to be dropping. Gingrich slowly but steadily rising. Paul will contine to get his hardcore 10% or so but has no upside whatsoever. So the question become who gets the Santorum/Bachman/Lost Cause voters as they drop out.
It will be VERY interesting to see who all these folks endorse. If we were to go by what they say in the debates, in the case of Santorum especially, it would be Newt. But I’d bet a bunch of money that they all endorse Romney. Why? I have no idea, but that’s what they all seem to do. First Pawlenty...then Christie. I can’t explain it. Maybe he has pictures of all of them or something.
Hank
At least one can have an intelligent conversation with Herman Cain.
Who do you think Perry will endorse?
It won’t be Romney.
I think that would be a safe bet! lol
I think I could have a conversation and beer with both of them. But it’d be impossible to talk politics with Obama, who has shown that if you disagree with him, he’ll hate you. From the recent debates, I’ve seen Cain being sensitive in a similar way, however, and he’s basically said the next debate he’s going to attack. That is an indication of a thin skin that could easily be a big weakness during a general election, when the press won’t be quite as nice to him.
I just can’t shake the notion that he supported TARP. Unconstitutional is unconstitutional.
Yeah he bailed on that later.
My issue with that reversal on TARP is that he didn’t say it was a terrible idea. He said, “they did it wrong.” He’s okay with government doing something unconstitutional—as long as it does it well. It’s sort of the Nixon principle that the Great Society is fine as long as we do it as efficiently and cheaply as possible. That’s not conservatism. It’s good/big government RINOism.
THE PPP POLL has Romney over Cain and not even a week ago Cain won the Florida Straw poll by a overwhelming margin.
Dont buy it.
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