So I gave each poll results equal weighting, and averaged them, as follows:
Sample | Cain | Romney | Gingrich | Paul | Bachman | Perry | Huntsman | Santorum | |
U.S. COMPOSITE | 1812 RV | 28.1 | 26.4 | 9.2 | 7.4 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 2.3 | unknown |
SC | 476 RV | 32 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | NotAsked |
FL | 505 RV | 30.2 | 32.6 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2 | NotAsked |
IA | 422 RV | 26 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 1 | NotAsked |
NH | 409 RV | 24 | 39 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | NotAsked |
I'd say this looks pretty reasonable compared to other polls done recently.
Note that Gingrich is 3rd, and Perry would be in SIXTH place!
Perry would do a 'little' better in a national poll that includes Texas, but not all that much better.
“You COULD say that the four InsiderAdvantage state polls released today represent a reasonably good cross-section of our overall country. “
You’re still being very generous with the others...but Cain still manages to stay on top. I’d say it was certainly a good day for Cain with the polls.
I've been watching the national averages for weeks and the dynamics I find quite interesting.
Keep up the good work, I'm always interested.
So I gave each poll results equal weighting, and averaged them, as follows:
Sample | Cain | Romney | Gingrich | Paul | Bachman | Perry | Huntsman | Santorum | |
U.S. COMPOSITE | 1812 RV | 28.1 | 26.4 | 9.2 | 7.4 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 2.3 | unknown |
SC | 476 RV | 32 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | NotAsked |
FL | 505 RV | 30.2 | 32.6 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2 | NotAsked |
IA | 422 RV | 26 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 1 | NotAsked |
NH | 409 RV | 24 | 39 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | NotAsked |
Sample | Cain | Romney | Gingrich | Paul | Bachman | Perry | Huntsman | Santorum | |
U.S. ZOGBY | 1214 RV | 45 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
BobL: You're right. The COMPOSITE seems even conservative compared to other polls done recently.
Thank you for that, I really like graphs and charts with raw information, rather than some analyst’s interpretation of the seldom-seen numbers. That would move Perry to a whopping 5.7%, or about the number of cheerleaders he has spamming the Front Page news everytime he ties his shoes without having to start over.
I think he's stay within the constitution, but could we get a worse person to "lead' that the guy inhabiting the golf courses and throwing Tomahawks at countries sans congressional approval, sending Climate Change to the EPA and DOE?? And has serious racist under and overtones? Okay rhetorical question. I'm leaning to a Cain/Gingrich ticket. Toss Perry in Israeli relations as an ambasador and let Bachmann become the ME Saudi ammbassador..hee hee. Let Ryan build the fence/border...I mean all those in the debates have some seriousskills and should not be put to pasture.
will be interesting to see what happens when the bottom 3 get a clue and drop out of the race
What would be great is if he would bow out now and urge his supporters to back Cain. If I know the Republican Party as well as I think I do, when he does, he'll end up endorsing Mittens. Never underestimate the ability of the party to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.