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Obama Might Pull Out
The Hill ^ | September 20, 2011 | Dick Morris

Posted on 09/22/2011 7:00:00 AM PDT by no dems

As bad news piles up for the Democrats, I asked a top Democratic strategist if it were possible that President Obama might "pull a Lyndon Johnson" and soberly face the cameras, telling America that he has decided that the demands of partisan politics are interfering with his efforts to right our economy and that he has decided to withdraw to devote full time to our recovery. His answer: "Yes. It's possible. If things continue as they are and have not turned around by January, it is certainly possible."

Just looking at Michelle Obama's unsmiling face during her husband's recent speech to Congress triggered an insight: These folks aren't having fun anymore.

Obama, whose insistence on passing a healthcare law that the courts will probably throw out cost his party the House, will now cost his party the Senate too. Indeed, it is even possible that the Republicans win 60 seats.

Currently, there are strong Republican candidates in 12 seats now held by Democrats. All could win in a 10- to 15-point landslide (which is shaping up). They include: Virginia (George Allen), Florida (Adam Hasner), New Mexico (probably Rep. Steve Pearce), Montana (Rep. Denny Rehberg), North Dakota (Rep. Rick Berg), Nebraska (Jon Bruning), Missouri (Sarah Steelman would be the best), Michigan (Pete Hoekstra), Ohio (Josh Mandel would be best), Wisconsin (Tommy Thompson or one of the others), Pennsylvania (Tim Burns would be great) and Connecticut (Chris Shays -- better than Linda McMahon).

If all win, the GOP is only one vote shy of the filibuster-proof 60-member majority in the Senate. The final seats could come if strong challenges shape up in West Virginia, New Jersey, Washington state, Minnesota and Maryland. And, with Obama this far behind, they probably will.

These senators -- all with targets painted on them -- are not going to be happy to see Obama at the top of the ticket dragging the party -- and them -- down to massive defeat.

Obama's historic race to the top in 2008 was animated by huge margins and turnouts among four key groups: African-Americans, Hispanics, Jews and young voters. New polling data and the results of the Brooklyn-Queens Turner-Weprin elections suggest that his base is decaying, chunk by chunk.

· An analysis of the past three Fox News surveys indicates that Obama's job approval rating among voters younger than 30 has declined to 44 percent. By combining the past three surveys, Fox News was able to accumulate data on 600 under-30 voters indicating a sharp decrease in the president's approval from his former supporters.

· According to Gallup, Obama's approval among Hispanics has also dropped to 44 percent. Aggregating data from recent polls, as Fox News did, Gallup concluded that the president's ratings among Hispanics were not much higher than among the general electorate.

· The election of Republican Bob Turner in the single most Jewish district in America -- one that had not gone Republican since the 1920s -- shows the decay in Obama's Jewish support. Alienated by his perceived anti-Israeli bias, Orthodox, Conservative and Reform Jews voted in massive numbers for Turner. Results in heavily Jewish areas reflected his desertion. But even such neighborhoods as Forest Hills, Queens, populated by Reform and Conservative Jews, showed the candidates running almost even.

Only the African-Americans remain of Obama's 2008 coalition. Surveys show his approval among blacks at higher than 80 percent, indicating no diminution of his enthusiasm there.

Yet the entire campaign strategy of the Obama people is to move to the left, fanning class warfare, to elicit strong liberal support. Rather than compensating for his loss of liberals by reaching out to independents and traditional swing voters, he just doubles down on his appeal to the left, further alienating the middle.

But the kind of enthusiasm Obama kindled in 2008 cannot be ignited easily by negative appeals. Particularly if the Republicans nominate a more moderate candidate such as Mitt Romney, Obama will not be able to rely on partisan animosity to succeed where job approval has failed. And, given all that, he might not even run.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: onetermobama; pullout
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I know a lot of folks want Bammy to stay in because they feel he can be easily defeated. (With a $1 Billion campaign warchest, it won't be easy.) But, I want President Clueless out of the White House ASAP by any means.
1 posted on 09/22/2011 7:00:01 AM PDT by no dems
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To: no dems

Let’s stop hyphenating segments of our population.

You’re either an African or an American, but you can’t be both.

The difficulty in removing America’s first African president is the fact that the satanist cultist leftist politicians has created a significant voting block in the entitlement evil. There is, however, another difficulty. It appears to me that those who would run against Obama don’t stand for much.

Who among them has called for the dismantling of the behemoth that rules and ruins our lives and economy?


2 posted on 09/22/2011 7:05:33 AM PDT by IbJensen ("Socialism works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it)
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To: no dems
The only good thing about a "resignation" from the phony in our White House would be that there'd probably be fewer race riots . . . our cities will burn . . . but not as many.

I can't wait to get this dirtbag and his overweight mooching wife out of our White House.

3 posted on 09/22/2011 7:06:05 AM PDT by laweeks
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To: no dems

Dow is down 344 from the open. Who doesn’t want zer0 out now?


4 posted on 09/22/2011 7:06:41 AM PDT by reefdiver ("Let His day's be few And another takes His office")
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To: no dems

Too bad Obammy’s pappy didn’t pull out.


5 posted on 09/22/2011 7:06:57 AM PDT by IbJensen ("Socialism works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it)
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To: no dems

The alternate would be Hillary.
I’m not too sure that would be any kind of improvement at all.

Obama has taught her and other democrats that the constitution and laws can just be ignored - no need to pretend or chip away at the constitution bit by bit. Just take what you want, do what you want.

So Hillary would be 10 times as bad now as she would have been 4 years ago.


6 posted on 09/22/2011 7:07:09 AM PDT by Iron Munro (Muslims who advocate, support, or carry out Jihad give the other 1% a bad name)
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To: no dems

As far as hussein is concerned, he is a complete success. Because his objective was to destroy the U.S.A. Mission accomplished, Brownie.


7 posted on 09/22/2011 7:07:18 AM PDT by crosshairs (If Sharia Law becomes the law of the land, heads are gonna roll.)
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To: no dems

More likely if Obama can keep the campaign donations for private use.


8 posted on 09/22/2011 7:08:41 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: no dems

Let the speculation begin. Who would be a likely be the Socialist/Communist candidate besides SWMNBN?

Richardson, Biden, any of the remaining Kennedys might be considered “Presidential” candidates.


9 posted on 09/22/2011 7:09:50 AM PDT by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners)
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To: IbJensen
Too bad Obammy’s pappy didn’t pull out.

He did, actually, but I'd rather not go into the details.

10 posted on 09/22/2011 7:11:20 AM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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To: reefdiver
Check out the European markets. Everything is tanking.
Hope. Change.

11 posted on 09/22/2011 7:11:31 AM PDT by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: Iron Munro
The alternate would be Hillary. I’m not too sure that would be any kind of improvement at all.

Hillarycare - no one wanted that, either. There's no way she'd eliminate Obomacare, and American voters want it GONE.
.

12 posted on 09/22/2011 7:17:34 AM PDT by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: Iron Munro
The alternate would be Hillary. I’m not too sure that would be any kind of improvement at all.

Hillarycare - no one wanted that, either. There's no way she'd eliminate Obomacare, and American voters want it GONE.
.

13 posted on 09/22/2011 7:17:41 AM PDT by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: IbJensen

Which one?


14 posted on 09/22/2011 7:18:12 AM PDT by mongo141
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To: no dems

Unlikely:
1. Obama loves himself too much.
2. Dropping out would be an admission of failure. This would be fatal for the democrats.


15 posted on 09/22/2011 7:21:40 AM PDT by kidd (S&P gives Obama an 'AA+'...Obama's only published grade)
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To: no dems

I want him impeached...at least articles filed. But if the Reid controlled Senate can’t even pass a budget, I don’t think they can get the votes to impeach.

I’ve always thought Barry would bail...he’s made his money and his mark on history (and our backs)..He can play golf in Hawaii and never have to work again...not bad for a 3 year career. Rat ba$tard.


16 posted on 09/22/2011 7:23:04 AM PDT by SueRae (I can see November 2012 from my HOUSE!!!!!!!!)
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To: no dems
.

I wouldn't blame him.

17 posted on 09/22/2011 7:23:14 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (I never win at Scrable.)
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To: IbJensen
Let’s stop hyphenating segments of our population. You’re either an African or an American, but you can’t be both.

True. And you're either an American or you're not an American -- regardless if you're "hispanic," "latino," Asian, white, red, or polka dot. As long as politicians "reach out" (a euphemism for "pander") to certain "communities," the primary ones being "African-American" and "hispanic," America is being played wrong. The citizens in those "communities" have the same needs that I have -- when they and politicians behave as if those needs are any different than any other American citizen's -- I smell the pungent aroma of "some are more equal than others" bullcrap.

18 posted on 09/22/2011 7:24:23 AM PDT by Finny ("Raise hell. Vote smart." -- Ted Nugent)
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To: Finny

Great comment, Finny!


19 posted on 09/22/2011 7:25:35 AM PDT by IbJensen ("Socialism works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it)
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To: Mr Ramsbotham

Apparently, then, another tribesman took over.


20 posted on 09/22/2011 7:26:45 AM PDT by IbJensen ("Socialism works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it)
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