Obama 43% Perry 40% (Mittens down by 8)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | August 24, 2011

[aposiopetic]

It’s likely voters per the article, but I agree that it does not bode well for Obama, since one-fourth or one-third of the electorate has still not heard of Perry.

[mel]

You get it.

[Tempest]

I hope the Democrats decide to run Rick Perry against Obama during the primaries. This way they can have a true progressive whom represents their views.

[10thAmendmentGuy]

Despite Carter’s unpopularity, Reagan was down big in the polls right up until election day. The only poll that matters is the one taken on the first Tuesday in November.

I actually wrote a paper about this in undergrad, and it's a common misconception.

Let me explain why. Carter and Reagan were basically even in the polls until the weekend before election day. On Sunday night, Carter's pollster, Patrick Caddell, was polling Americans and found that Reagan had grabbed 5 percentage points from Carter, giving him a 5 point lead in the polls. On Monday afternoon and evening, Carter's pollster polled the public again, and found that Carter had lost ANOTHER 5 points to Reagan, and that Reagan's lead over Carter was approximately 10 points on election day. Carter ended up losing the election by 9.75 points. So while the major news organization polls were inaccurate because they stopped polling on Saturday night (3 days before the election), all the relevant polling showed Reagan smashing Carter on election day, which is exactly what happened. It's amazing to think that you can have a 10 point swing in the span of basically 30 hours, but that is exactly what happened. What contributed to this 10-point swing was the news media intently covering the hostage situation again, and soft Democrats frustrated with Carter ended up switching their support to Reagan. What resulted was an electoral landslide.

[brownsfan]

*** I am thrilled that Perry is losing too. I can’t wait for Sarah to announce. People will be saying, “Perry who?” ***

I have not talked to a single soul who isn’t a solid Republican who has said they would vote for Palin.

In 2004, I was disgusted with Bush, but couldn’t possibly vote for Kerry. In 2012, if Palin is the nominee, you’ll get that effect in reverse for Obama.

[Zhang Fei]

How badly does Obama need to screw this country up to be behind in the polls? Who are these zombies still supporting him?

FDR seriously screwed up this country with the New Deal. He, not Johnson, Nixon, Carter or Obama, is the one ultimately responsible for our massive Federal Debt burden. The American people rewarded him with 4 Presidential victories.

[GonzoGOP]

Here is the key thing...

President earning 43% of the vote if Texas Governor Rick Perry is the GOP nominee. Perry attracts support from 40%. Ten percent (10%) say they’d prefer some other candidate

But come election time no other candidate will be on the ballot. So that ten percent can be counted on to go against Obamam. With most of it going for Perry. So he would win 50/43. Likewise Bachman would win using the same logic. Only Romney fails in this respect. He is 8% down with 8% preferring another candidate. At best a tie, but while he would get most of that 8% he won't get all of it. Mittens is the only one posted that Obama has a good chance of beating.

[Signalman]

Anytime an incumbent polls under 50%, it’s bad news(for the incumbent).

[PhilDragoo]

FIFTY-SEVEN PER CENT REJECT GAGA HUSSEIN

[RockinRight]

The Palinistas cheer any poll that shows Obammy beating any non-Palin candidate, yet refuse to believe the CONSISTENT polls showing Palin down 15 to 20 pts.

[chilepup]

Wait a sec, regardless of who is going down...how can ALL of the Republican candidates be losing to Obama, when at the end of the survey he still loses to the “generic” Republican?

[concerned about politics]

Did any of them say WHY they would vote for Obama? I just don’t get it.

They're still waiting for their free Oboma money. He said he was going to steal it from other people and give it to them.

[RockinRight]

Idiot.

[Tempest]

Rick Perry does well since he steals so many of the far left votes from Obama.

[traderrob6]

You are serious???

10 people who have enough time on their hands to show up for this, that you have NO idea of their background, circumstance etc and you’re worried that they went 6-4 for Obama.

Brother I got some land down in Florida I’d like to visit with you about.

[MissyMa]

I agree with you on the American electorate. Also, without GOP support no candidate can make it to the White House. I just saw this on Politico and thought it was interesting.

Sarah Palin out for two-fifths of Republicans, poll finds

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0811/62074.html

[Cicero]

Anything less than 50% for an incumbent is very bad news. It suggests strongly that he will lose, unless the Republicans screw up.

Which, of course, they will be happy to do unless someone competent manages to take it out of the hands of the usual suspects. Someone like Sarah Palin.

On the other hand, I don’t support Perry, but 40% isn’t too bad for an opposition candidate with several other contenders still in the race.

[RockinRight]

Either the actual Republican is disliked, or not well known enough yet. For Perry its the latter, for Romney, the former, and for Bachmann, probably the former, unfortunately.

[DeaconRed]

"Wait a sec, regardless of who is going down...how can ALL of the Republican candidates be losing to Obama, when at the end of the survey he still loses to the “generic” Republican?"

I don't for one second believe any poll that gives ZERO more than 10% against ANY Republican.
The polls are a waste of time & energy.

[Tempest]

Sigh, another reactionary vulgar reactionary Perry thug representing the thug candidate.