Posted on 08/25/2011 12:43:08 PM PDT by Sarabaracuda
President Obama continues to lead all named Republicans in early polling on the 2012 race for the White House, but the numbers suggest a competitive race may be possible.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows the President earning 43% of the vote if Texas Governor Rick Perry is the GOP nominee. Perry attracts support from 40%. Ten percent (10%) say they’d prefer some other candidate while seven percent (7%) are not sure.
If Congresswoman Michele Bachmann is the GOP candidate, the president leads 43% to 39%. In that match-up, 12% would prefer some other candidate and seven percent (7%) are not sure.
With former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney as his opponent, the president leads 46% to 38%. In an Obama-Romney contest, eight percent (8%) would look for a third party option while nine percent (9%) are not sure. (To see question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The match-up surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted August 17-22, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error for the surveys is +/- 3% with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Perry leads the race for the GOP nomination by double digits. However, it’s worth noting that the 2008 nominee, John McCain, never led in national polling until the end of December in 2007. The frontrunner for the nomination often polls better than other candidates in match-ups against an incumbent president.
Data released earlier shows the President leading Congressman Ron Paul by a single point and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin by double digits.
The previous round of match-ups showed the president leading Perry by five and Bachmann by seven. At that time, Romney held a one-point lead over Obama.
Perry leads Obama by 69 percentage points among Republicans. Bachmann leads by 61 among GOP voters and Romney by 59. The president leads all three among unaffiliated voters. However, the president’s support among unaffiliateds ranges from 41% to 44% and a quarter of unaffiliateds remain either undecided or interested in a third party option.
A Generic Republican leads the president by five percentage points. One of the best measures of a president’s prospects for re-election is his Job Approval rating. Recently, the president’s approval has held steady in the low-to-mid 40s, a sign of potential vulnerability. However, it is very early in the election cycle and there is plenty of time for the president’s numbers to improve (or possibly to decline). In either case, as election day approaches, the president’s share of the vote is likely to be very close to his Job Approval rating.
Match-ups for each candidate were conducted on separate nights as part of the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Having Obama at 43% is stunningly bad. Many don't know who Perry is (or the other candidates, for that matter). There is one part of the poll that showed a significant number supporting 'someone else'. Many of these will be GOP voters when all is said and done. Obama polling 7 points below 50% at this stage is not good for him.
So you two are more thrilled with Romney and Perry losing than 0bama winning?
Nice tactics.
Ah huh. Doubt it.
Well since you are being like the liberal media and only posting the one part of what I said to get your agenda across, it means nothing to mean what you say. You fit right in with the dems and Obama. No wonder your an Obama supporter....doesn’t surprise me at all.
So liberal Joann....I bet you are fat. Every Joann I know is rotund. Anyway, show me where I posted anything about Romney you idiot.
“Generic Republican leads the president by five percentage points. “
I’m waiting for Generic Republican to step in.
He’s a winner!!!
“I am thrilled that Perry is losing too. “
Nose. Cut. Spite. Face.
The match-up surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted August 17-22, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports.
“I have not talked to a single soul who isn’t a solid Republican who has said they would vote for Palin.”
If Palin fans would just seek out and find a non-Republican and try to convince them to support Palin ... they might ‘get it’.
Yeah, D’OH! But I stand by my assessment. A lot of “moderate” voters still don’t care or pay far too much attention to the still-fawning coverage coming out of the MSM.
For many of the reason you cite, I still think Obama is favored to win in 2012 no matter who Republicans run.
The whining dog Rasmussen was dragged into the Whitehouse back in 2009 and told to start fixing his polls to favor obuma, or else.
The coward is doing what his master commands.
Rasmussen has licked his master’s boots.
Until somebody, at the whitehouse, got to him.I remember when rasrep was good.Not anymore.
You’re quite the bully, aren’t you? Now I see where you posted elsewhere on this thread that you may vote for Perry, just not enthusiastically. Make up your mind.
And quit beating your wife, bully.
What are you talking about, moron? I support Perry and am glad he is already in a statistical dead heat with Obama. I am also happy Mittens is faltering as it will open the way to a Perry nomination. Romney supporters will not be able to use electability as an excuse to back Mittens. Or is that what you really have a problem with?
Rasmussen is a Republican. What exactly are you so upset about anyway? Obama is in a dead heat with the Republican frontrunner, and Romney is fading fast.
Oh God not you again. You need a hug or something. You are free to vote for who you want and I can do the same. If you don’t like that then either too bad or move to Russia as you would fit in better there.
On the other hand, there was no New Media back during the ‘30s and ‘40s. Also, I suspect that many people thought that what FDR did was necessary to help people and the country. From what I heard, ‘ol Hussein is getting rather low marks on the economy.
Maybe in this cynical and jaded age, we expect political figures to be at least somewhat corrupt. When someone like Palin comes around, someone who may well be actually pretty honest, we tend to be skeptical, and think that he/she may be too good to be true.
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