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Two interesting things can be gleaned from this very short article.

1. Perry was polling very well in these states even before he entered the race or did any campaigning.

2. If Perry and Palin are both in, the conservative vote will be continuously split from state to state as it was in 2008.

In the same way that dynamic made McCain the "default" nominee 2008, it will work very much to Willard Romney's advantage.

1 posted on 08/22/2011 10:29:23 AM PDT by AAABEST
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To: southernnorthcarolina
These polls go a long way toward proving the point you made here.
2 posted on 08/22/2011 10:33:04 AM PDT by AAABEST (Et lux in tenebris lucet: et tenebrae eam non comprehenderunt)
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To: AAABEST

2. If Perry and Palin are both in, the conservative vote will be continuously split from state to state as it was in 2008.

In the same way that dynamic made McCain the “default” nominee 2008, it will work very much to Willard Romney’s advantage


I have said this over and over here. I usually get lit up like Bagdad Circa 2003 for my efforts, but we are both correct. Too many conservative candidates will split support and nominate Mitt by default. I will not settle on one yet but I plan to soon. If Sarah is not in the race (possible announcement on September 3rd) soon, I’m going with Perry. If she waits a couple more months and jumps in, TFB.


3 posted on 08/22/2011 10:34:08 AM PDT by Grunthor (In order; Palin, Perry, None of the rest matter 'til the general)
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To: AAABEST

Looks like all the corporate welfare is paying off for Ricardo P.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2767354/posts


4 posted on 08/22/2011 10:34:08 AM PDT by Fred ('Just cus I said it, don't mean I meant it'....Obamaism)
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To: AAABEST

I think Perry will win NC. That being said the NC primary occurs so late in the calendar, the GOP nominee will probably be decided already.


5 posted on 08/22/2011 10:36:05 AM PDT by o2bfree
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To: AAABEST

Then it seems that for the good of the country, Perry should drop out.

Our country needs Palin as our President, not Perry.


6 posted on 08/22/2011 10:36:46 AM PDT by Gator113 (Palin 2012, period.....)
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To: AAABEST

Well if Perry is the Romney killer we were all hoping for, which it appears he is, then I am all for him. If we can knock Myth out of a few of these Primaries, he will be toast.


8 posted on 08/22/2011 10:51:57 AM PDT by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: AAABEST
Al Gore's former Texas campaign manager - Rick Perry can not split or even affect the conservative vote in any way because former Democrat Perry is another establishment RINO who competes with and splits the Rockefeller vote with Mitt Romneycare. The two of them are pretty much twins.

The conservative vote is pretty much going to Cain and Bachmann at the moment, with hopes that Palin and Brewer might jump in.

9 posted on 08/22/2011 10:52:39 AM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: AAABEST

If people look at the records, rather than the rhetoric, it will be Perry and Romney splitting the moderate vote, assuming a conservative enters the race, or one of the others in the race catch on.


12 posted on 08/22/2011 11:06:01 AM PDT by Ingtar (Together we go broke (from a Pookie18 post))
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To: AAABEST

“Seventeen things critics are saying about Rick Perry” (and the truth)....http://peskytruth.wordpress.com/2011/07/19/rick-perrys-negatives/

This puts Perry’s record, which is very positive, in perspective. It also talks about the relative strength of the Texas governorship.


15 posted on 08/22/2011 11:10:53 AM PDT by LOC1 (Let's pick the best, not settle for a compromise.)
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To: AAABEST

2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

Polling Data

Poll Date Romney Perry Palin Bachmann Giuliani Paul Cain Gingrich Huntsman Santorum Spread
RCP Average 8/2 - 8/15 20.2 18.4 10.0 9.6 9.3 8.8 5.0 5.0 2.2 1.8 Romney +1.8
Rasmussen Reports 8/15 - 8/15 18 29 -- 13 -- 9 6 5 1 1 Perry +11
FOX News 8/7 - 8/9 21 13 8 7 7 6 5 6 2 2 Romney +8
CNN/Opinion Research 8/5 - 8/7 17 15 12 7 12 12 4 5 4 2 Romney +2
USA Today/Gallup 8/4 - 8/7 24 17 -- 13 -- 14 4 7 2 1 Romney +7
McClatchy/Marist 8/2 - 8/4 21 18 10 8 9 3 6 2 2 3 Romney +3

2012 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions Chronologically

The above dates aren't set in stone as of yet.....

20 posted on 08/22/2011 11:30:46 AM PDT by deport ( In Texas it's hotter than two goats fighting in a jalapeno patch.)
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To: AAABEST

If Perry and Palin are both in, the conservative vote will be continuously split from state to state as it was in 2008.

Solution: Perry should bow out.


21 posted on 08/22/2011 11:41:42 AM PDT by chainsaw (I'd hate to be a democrat running against Sarah Palin.)
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To: AAABEST

If Sarah gets in, I’m a $100 monthly donor...if not I’ll save my money.


23 posted on 08/22/2011 12:10:43 PM PDT by Krodg
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To: AAABEST

Shouldn’t the headline of this story be , non announced candidate Palin tied with Romney and Perry?


35 posted on 08/22/2011 7:15:45 PM PDT by curth (Sarah Palin: THE Genuine Article - Accept No Cheap Imitation)
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