Can't argue with that reasoning, but he probably put those pieces of data into a larger data set, and came to that conclusion.
I just have to believe that he's watching everything that's going on, and is seeing the underlying strategies and tactics being employed by all of the candidates. I think you just would, after such a long time in the business.
I still think it's interesting that he went on record with that prediction. Could be a warning signal to the establishment crew, ya think?
I imagine you're right. Figured that the "establishment's conventional wisdom" was purely a ploy to dissuade her from running. The DC folk are very predictable, yet so many get sucked into that thinking. If she wins, the establishment loses, and that fright just encourages me all the more. Seems we are THIS close.