The Press Room at Ames. With the media out in such force, there's
a danger of an event being overplayed. Photo: Toby Harnden
Posted on 08/14/2011 3:03:52 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
The Press Room at Ames. With the media out in such force, there's
a danger of an event being overplayed. Photo: Toby Harnden
The results are in.....
1. Michele Bachmann is now in the top tier of candidates, which comprises Mitt Romney, Rick Perry and the Minnesota congresswoman. Let’s not get carried away – in some respects this was the situation a week ago...A lot of the significance attached to Ames is because there were so many journalists here. So a little perspective is needed on the significance of the 16,892 ballots cast.
2. Outside the top three, it is hard to see how any other candidate can win the Republican nomination.
3. Tim Pawlenty’s campaign is now likely to die a slow death,....
4. Perry entered the race with a strong speech in Charleston and a visit to New Hampshire. Word is the logistics were near flawless....
5. Ron Paul came a very close second....but he..will not be the nominee.
6. Romney’s decision not to compete at Ames was a clever one... But now that Perry is in the race Romney cannot maintain his front runner status by staying above the fray..
7. The battle is now on for Romney, in particular, to define Perry in order to stop the momentum he will gain from a good announcement and the inevitabe excitement over a new face. Romney will try to portray Perry as a career politician at a time when a businessman and outsider is needed. This will be tough, however, because of Perry’s life story, his Tea Party credibility and the fact he’s a Texan. And, let’s face it, Romney’s an unlikely outsider.
8.
9.
10. Sarah Palin received less than one percent of the vote. The law of diminishing returns....
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.telegraph.co.uk ...
Perry will be the next President
Perry has Tea Party credibility to those who only listen, not read.
By how much is the question.
A landslide is needed to shove progressives back to the dark ages.
LOL, I like that 8 and 9 are blank.
I think that conveys things very well, in a pomo, ironic way.
Which is where we are at, right now.
Thanks for posting this, spot on really.
McCain came in next-to-last four years ago; 'nough said.
You have to admire Iowa.
Other State Fair’s have tractor pulls.
Fried foods.
Iowa gets the MSM to rent all the rooms in Ames for two weeks!
Now the MSM will talk about it for months, like it mattered.
Absolutely! Anyone that reads or listens to the news could have told you the results of this media event weeks before it took place. The real race for the nomination is between Perry and Romney, christian conservative and fiscal conservative.
>>> Now the MSM will talk about it for months, like it mattered.
Yes for the most part I’ve skipped over the Iowa stories. People tend to forget things like no Iowa servicemen deployed outside the state can vote. Cause they don’t get time off to show up at a caucus.
Seeing which side can bus in more “true believers” isn’t all that interesting. Nor predicative of an actual election.
Yes, a little perspective is needed. In case anyone is wondering, there have only been five Republican straw polls, not including the current, since the Ames/Iowa Straw Pole began in 1979. They don't conduct the straw poll when there is a Republican incumbent, so there is no data for 1983, 1991, and 2003.
Of the winners of those five polls, three have gone on to win the caucus. That's a slightly better than average chance of predicting the caucus winner. Noteworthy, but not very impressive as far as I'm concerned.
Of the winners of either the straw poll, the caucus or both, only one has become President. That's one in five for predicting the Presidency. Not very good at all. What is interesting, is that of the three Republican Presidents we've had since the poll began, two of them won neither the poll or the caucus for that year. I could argue that the odds of winning the Presidency are in your favor by 2 to 1 if you don't win the straw or caucus.
It seems to me the Iowa Straw Poll is better at picking who is not going to be President, rather than who is.
Was Palin on the ballot? I missed that...
Perry did not win the Iowa straw poll
making this more PR press for a Rove-created RINO
who is for Gardasil-MANDATEs, Open-Borders-for-Illegals.
One should judge a RINO by his walk, not his latest talk.
I don't see how she could be since she hasn't declared (yet :). Probably write-ins?
Once again, the Ames straw poll is shown to be an irrelevant and futile effort.
The Ames straw poll is purely a press event
LOL...there is another unannounced straw poll coming up next week with Palin, Perry, and Giuliani. Just before the poll there will be a debate moderated by Katy Couric and Rachel Maddow.
It is a State fair attraction.
Three tosses for a dollar.
See the bearded pig.
MSM would kill baby kittens for a story in August.
If Perry gets the nomination and convinces Marco Rubio to run with him, the GOP will win in 2012 thanks to garnering a majority of the hispanic vote.
Perry/Rubio
Rick Perry received one half of one per cent of the vote. Is he facing the law of diminishing returns?
They can twist it any way they want, but they are all scared spit-less of Sarah.
You make a good point. Using the terminology "law of diminishing returns" doesn't work here anyway. Agreed, hire more people and you get less production from each. but this field will thin, and when it does, Palin will be a factor.
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