As I posted elsewhere, you ignore data at your own peril.
Prior to the Christine O'Donnell fiasco, all polls predicted that fiasco and excuses, identical to your current excuse, were thrown out by the true believers.
Sure enough, Delaware now has a self-described Marxist as a U.S. Senator until at least 2016.
You believe the MSM/Rep est polls at your own peril
And all polls said pretty much the same thing about Reagan that they did about O’Donnell. If she’s not the one most people want she won’t win. If she is she will. Pretty simple, really.
Cindie