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The Extraordinary Collapse of Jatropha as a Global Biofuel
Environmental Science and Technology ^ | August 2, 2011 | Promode Kant, Shuirong Wu

Posted on 08/04/2011 7:27:45 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer

Blending of fossil diesel with biodiesel is an important climate change mitigation strategy across the world. In 2003 the Planning Commission of India decided to introduce mandatory blending over increasingly larger parts of the country and reach countrywide 30% blending status by the year 2020 and opted for nonedible oilseed species of Jatropha curcus raised over lands unsuited to agriculture as it was considered to be high in oil content, early yielding, nonbrowsable and requiring little irrigation and even less management. In a massive planting program of unprecedented scale millions of marginal farmers and landless people were encouraged to plant Jatropha across India through attractive schemes. In 2006 China also decided to meet 15% of transportation energy needs with biofuels by 2020 and, spurred by India’s example, leaned on Jatropha curcas with ambitious plans to raise it over 1 million hectare of marginal lands. Similar measures were undertaken across other developing countries involving millions of small farmers in the hope that it would not only provide renewable energy but also enhance their incomes. In Tanzania more than 10000 small farmers have established Jatropha plantations and many more have done so in the rest of East Africa.(2) By 2008, Jatropha had already been planted over an estimated 900000 ha globally of which an overwhelming 85% was in Asia, 13% in Africa and the rest in Latin America, and by 2015 Jatropha is expected to be planted on 12.8 million ha worldwide.(5)

But the results are anything but encouraging. In India the provisions of mandatory blending could not be enforced as seed production fell far short of the expectation and a recent study has reported discontinuance by 85% of the Jatropha farmers.(1) In China also until today there is very little production of biodiesel from Jatropha seeds. In Tanzania the results are very unsatisfactory and a research study found the net present value of a five-year investment in Jatropha plantation was negative with a loss of US$ 65 per ha on lands with yields of 2 tons/ha of seeds and only slightly beneficial at US$ 9 per ha with yields of 3 tons when the average expected Jatropha seed yield on poor barren soils is only 1.7 to 2.2 tons/ha. Even on normal fertile soils (average seed yield 3.9 to 7.5 tons/ha) Jatropha was no match for sunflower.(2, 4)

Though acclaimed widely for its oil, Jatropha was never considered economically important enough for domestication and its seed and oil productivity is hugely variable. The species indeed grows wild in many semiarid habitats of low productivity but the lack of moisture and nutrition is invariably reflected in its seed production. The flowering season and number of flowering events, and male to female flower ratio in Jatropha is dependent upon soil fertility and available moisture, and temperature and these factors affect the production of seeds. In drier zones the species exhibits one major flowering flush whereas in the more humid areas it flowers episodically depending on moisture conditions. Thus its phenotypic, physiological, and biochemical variability expressed in flowering age, intensity, and frequency, and seed size and oil content, is largely an epigenetic response to the varied environment it encounters as the phenotypic plasticity of genetic traits allows morphological and physiological adjustments with the environ. But such epigenetic accommodation lowers plant efficiency which is also reflected in its lowered seed production capacity. A case study of Jatropha plantations raised in 1993–1994 in the Indian province of Andhra Pradesh had reported actual yields that were far below expectations and the species was found to be prone to termite attacks, water logging, vulnerable to drought in the planting year and delayed yields.(3)

These observations are, however, nothing out of ordinary and should have been anticipated by the Planning Commission of India, the powerful apex body that decides national priorities and allocates funds for them, before taking up such a continent sized program involving millions of low income farmers. But the Commission may have relied too heavily on the opinion of one of its top functionaries, who expected an internal rate of return ranging from 19 to 28% across India.(4) National planners’ enthusiasm for the species rubbed off easily on research organizations and Universities that rely heavily on the Planning Commission for funding and some of these institutions themselves became partners in raising Jatropha plantations.

It appears to be an extreme case of a well intentioned top down climate mitigation approach, undertaken without adequate preparation and ignoring conflict of interest, and adopted in good faith by other countries, gone awry bringing misery to millions of poorest people across the world. And it happened because the principle of “due diligence” before taking up large ventures was ignored everywhere. As climate mitigation and adaptation activities intensify attracting large investments there is danger of such lapses becoming more frequent unless “due diligence” is institutionalized and appropriate protocols developed to avoid conflict of interest of research organizations. As an immediate step an international body like the FAO may have to intervene to stop further extension of Jatropha in new areas without adequate research inputs. Greater investments in dissemination of scientific data will help in ensuring due diligence does not cause undue delays in decision making.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: biofuel
Scratch one source of biofuel off the list.
1 posted on 08/04/2011 7:27:51 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: Vince Ferrer
...an overwhelming 85% was in Asia, 13% in Africa and the rest in Latin America,...

Those numbers don't really say 'global.'
2 posted on 08/04/2011 7:32:52 PM PDT by posterchild
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To: Vince Ferrer

and who paid for this massive boondoggle???


3 posted on 08/04/2011 7:35:16 PM PDT by elpadre (AfganistaMr Obama said the goal was to "disrupt, dismantle and defeat al-Qaeda" and its allies.)
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To: Vince Ferrer

jatropha hastata is pretty when cultivated, just don’t eat the fruit.


4 posted on 08/04/2011 7:36:58 PM PDT by _a_0_0_
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To: Vince Ferrer

“Well-intentioned” my ass. Bureaucrat fantasies without regard to misery for millions.


5 posted on 08/04/2011 7:40:44 PM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (REPEAL WASHINGTON! -- Islam Delenda Est! -- I Want Constantinople Back. -- Rumble thee forth.)
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To: Vince Ferrer
My wife purchases tropical oils in 50lb drums for a business she owns. One customer sent a nagging e-mail about rainforest destruction and that she was appalled that my wife used palm oil. I knew it was tilting at windmills to argue logic with a liberal wacko, but I told the woman that until the damned environmentalists came along, there wasn't a problem with sustainably harvesting tropical oils. Big Biodiesel gobbled up palm oil sending our prices soaring, and now we little businesses are the villains! I blamed environmentalists for trashing rainforests with their anti-global warming agenda.

Environmentalists are among the lowest forms of life on this planet.

6 posted on 08/04/2011 7:42:43 PM PDT by ElectronVolt
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To: Vince Ferrer

This follows the environmental tragedy of palm oil.


7 posted on 08/04/2011 7:46:42 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Vince Ferrer
There is nothing requiring mitigation.
8 posted on 08/04/2011 7:47:55 PM PDT by Nuc 1.1 (Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide
Part of the problem is the lag time involved in educating the leadership elites to new science.

Epigenetics, which were highly critical to an understanding of this particular plant, are a new science just a handful of years out in the open.

The folks in their 40s and 50s who make the decisions in India (or any other country for that matter) simply never studied that in school ~ even if they were biologists or in environmentally related fields. Yet, epigenetics is one of the more important things you need to know about.

BTW, to my knowledge this is the first time I've seen anything practical come out of epigenetic studies.

9 posted on 08/04/2011 7:53:48 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Vince Ferrer

“It appears to be an extreme case of a well intentioned top down climate mitigation approach, undertaken without adequate preparation and ignoring conflict of interest, and adopted in good faith by other countries, gone awry bringing misery to millions of poorest people across the world. And it happened because the principle of “due diligence” before taking up large ventures was ignored everywhere.”

In other words, government know-nothings, cronys, and egghead hangers-on thought they found a holy grail and became shocked when reality failed to cooperate with their vision.

Lucky for us that can’t happen here. /s


10 posted on 08/04/2011 8:30:32 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Both sides need to put aside the partisan bickering, & work out how much free stuff I get)
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To: Vince Ferrer
a well intentioned top down climate mitigation approach

Your basic oxymoron at play.

11 posted on 08/04/2011 8:34:04 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Vince Ferrer

It’s not the validity of the science that matters, its the intentions of the activists that champion it.


12 posted on 08/04/2011 8:34:10 PM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Vince Ferrer

so sorry!


13 posted on 08/04/2011 8:35:04 PM PDT by ken21 (ruling class dem + rino progressives -- destroying america for 150 years.)
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To: Vince Ferrer

Jatropha never was much of a solution, this isn’t news. It doesn’t grow in North America anyhow, so wouldn’t do us much good, and it’s poisonous nasty crap.

For those who choose to have an open mind and seek objective scientific truth rather than spout talking points, there’s a good possibility that biofuels will someday make sense. That day is not today because there are no sustainable non-food feedstocks that make sense. Algae is the most promising but no one has yet figured a way to grow and harvest it cost-effectively enough to product biofuels at a competitive price. But the same could be said for countless other things that American ingenuity has overcome when driven by free market forces.

Algae contains 300 times the oil content per unit as soybeans or jatropha and an area the size of a two-car garage can produce as much algal biofuel feedstock as a football-field sized soybean crop can, because nearly all of the organism is devoted to converting sunlight into oil.

The solution doesn’t involved growing crappy jatropha weed in China and India but in allowing American Exceptionalism to do for biofuels what it did for petro fuels - or for semiconductors, for that matter.


14 posted on 08/04/2011 8:35:25 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: Vince Ferrer
But the Commission may have relied too heavily on the opinion of one of its top functionaries, who expected an internal rate of return ranging from 19 to 28% across India.

So, name the names already!

Which powerful university or governmental official are they trying to protect?

15 posted on 08/04/2011 9:32:03 PM PDT by texas booster (Join FreeRepublic's Folding@Home team (Team # 36120) Cure Alzheimer's!)
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To: Vince Ferrer
It's not just a question of not doing “due diligence”. Critical phases in the development and commercialization of any new technology were skipped. As they have been in all “green” tech — especially wind turbines, solar, and biofuels in general.

More R&D was clearly needed. Then, there should have been a pilot project, before large scale implementation. It's a shameful waste of resources, on a grand scale.

16 posted on 08/04/2011 9:42:06 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: Vince Ferrer

Predictable outcome of Group Think


17 posted on 08/04/2011 9:48:50 PM PDT by ASOC (What are you doing now that Mexico has become OUR Chechnya?)
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To: Vince Ferrer

Somebody post a link to that “I, pencil” article again. It bears reading about once a day anymore...


18 posted on 08/04/2011 10:37:16 PM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Vince Ferrer

[Thus its phenotypic, physiological, and biochemical variability expressed in flowering age, intensity, and frequency, and seed size and oil content, is largely an epigenetic response to the varied environment it encounters as the phenotypic plasticity of genetic traits allows morphological and physiological adjustments with the environ. ]

You can say that again. Someone must be getting paid by the number of words per sentence.


19 posted on 08/04/2011 11:23:30 PM PDT by DaxtonBrown (HARRY: Money Mob & Influence (See my Expose on Reid on amazon.com written by me!))
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