[Clive]

Agreed, although National Hurricane Center calls 30 to 50 percent a medium chance. Note however that this is a 48 hour chance and the chance will be updated as time progresses.

Note that this system has about 2000 kilometers to go before it crosses the Lesser Antilles.

[topher]

Note that this system has about 2000 kilometers to go before it crosses the Lesser Antilles.

The above is more my point. It is very early for this storm, and I am not sure how warm the waters are where it currently is.

That does not mean that this thread is not fruitful. On the contrary, people can start following this potential storm system. And most weather broadcasters pay attention to this area of the ocean for potential storm systems.

If the storm would be entering the Gulf of Mexico with its sizzling waters, I would be concerned about rapid intensification.

With this potential storm, different countries will have some time to prepare...

That is a good thing...

[topher]

The National Hurricane Center (NOAA) has finally assigned a satellite for this system:

Atlantic Floater 2 Assigned to 91L

Atlantic Floater 1 is currently assigned to Tropical Storm Don...

They may not have assigned a satellite before now to same on repositioning of satellites -- which might expend fuel and affect the life of the satellite.