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Perry Watch: A (nonpartisan) computer concludes Rick Perry is only Republican who can beat Obama
Houston Chronicle ^ | 7-5-2011 | Andrea Vasquez

Posted on 07/05/2011 11:51:09 AM PDT by smoothsailing

Perry Watch: A (nonpartisan) computer concludes that Rick Perry is the only Republican who can beat Obama

Andrea Vasquez

July 5, 2011

...Excerpt...

A forecasting model called PollyVote combines several index models for a well-rounded approach to predicting the next U.S. president. One of the models used in PollyVote is a biographical index, called PollyBio, that ranks candidates based on 59 biographical characteristics such as age, home state and athleticism.

.....

When they tested PollyBio on the past 29 presidential elections – from 1896 to 2008 – the forecast matched the actual outcome 27 times. The two it missed: Jimmy Carter’s 1976 election and Bill Clinton’s 1992 election.

.....

Perry was the only one among 14 GOP candidates to come out ahead of Obama. Compared side-by-side on the PollyVote bio index, Perry came out with 21 points to Obama’s 20, translating to 50.3 percent of votes for Perry...

(Excerpt) Read more at blog.chron.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Political Humor/Cartoons; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: perry; perryastroturfing
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To: smoothsailing

I like Santorum and I think he would make a good president but why did he lose his last election so badly?


41 posted on 07/05/2011 1:04:05 PM PDT by samtheman
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To: jersey117
In all honesty, who else in the field do you think is more acceptable who has an actual shot at winning

Michele Bachmann
Sarah Palin (if she runs)
Herman Cain

ALL perfectly capable and a ten fold improvement from what we have presently.

If you think any of these people are not worth the title of POTUS, you can blame everyone who cast a vote dead or alive for the worst POTUS we have ever had, Barack Hussein Obama (Mmmm...Mmmm...Mmmm) and distorting the standards required for the position.

42 posted on 07/05/2011 1:13:01 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: hellbender
Long after Perry supported the palpably phony sociopath Al Gore for President, he supported 3x-married, militantly pro-abortion Rudy Giuliani for President! Yet we are supposed to believe that Perry is a deeply-committed social conservative.

When are people going to wake up and realize that career politicians like Perry are sociopaths who will say anything to get elected? Let’s back someone who was conservative when (and where) “conservative” wasn’t cool, like Palin (Alaska), Bachmann (MN), and Cain (the black community). Reagan had a successful private career long before he went into politics, and never was active on behalf of Leftists. In contrast, Perry was a career political hack who turned Republican only when it served his career interests. Even then, he supported “liberal” (RINO) Republicans. Forget this guy! We don’t need him!

What do you do with the fact that Palin herself said that Perry would make a great candidate she could support for President?

43 posted on 07/05/2011 1:22:00 PM PDT by xjcsa (Ridiculing the ridiculous since the day I was born.)
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To: jersey117
I just don’t understand the anti-Perry folks in general. Yes he has flaws and he’s made some bad decisions.

Supporting open borders and being the campaign chairman for Armand "Lenin is my best pal" Hammer's protege, Al Gore, aren't "flaws" or "mistakes".

44 posted on 07/05/2011 1:24:12 PM PDT by Roninf5-1
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To: SatinDoll

What year was that? Was this when algore was running against W? You have any hard details into what you claim?


45 posted on 07/05/2011 1:32:03 PM PDT by dusttoyou ("Progressives" are wee-weeing all over themselves, Foc nobama)
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To: smoothsailing

Um, No.

There’s an old concept with computers known as Garbage In, Garbage Out. Put in crap data, you get crap results.

Someone needs to disconnect the scanner from the toilet.


46 posted on 07/05/2011 1:32:13 PM PDT by Dr.Zoidberg (Warning: Sarcasm/humor is always engaged. Failure to recognize this may lead to misunderstandings.)
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To: samtheman

2006 was a horrible year for Republicans if you recall, they lost the House and Senate, many incumbent Republicans lost there races, and we got the nightmare of Pelosi and Reid.

Santorum got caught in that chaos, but he didn’t help himself either. He was blasted by the dems and the media for not paying school taxes in PA. He paid them late, but he couldn’t shake the charge. I think he would have lost anyway quite frankly, PA is a “purple” state because of it’s liberal albatross Philadelphia, otherwise it’s almost solid red. In a big dem year like 2006, Santorum was already doomed, IMO.


47 posted on 07/05/2011 1:51:35 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Would that be one of those magic black balls you ask questions?


48 posted on 07/05/2011 1:55:37 PM PDT by org.whodat
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To: smoothsailing

Computers cannot compute anything without code written to perform in a certain way. Therein lies the bias.

LLS


49 posted on 07/05/2011 2:02:38 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer ("GIVE ME LIBERTY OR GIVE ME DEATH"! I choose LIBERTY and PALIN!)
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To: smoothsailing

Carter - the anti-Nixon
Clinton - Perot


50 posted on 07/05/2011 2:10:20 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion (A Nation of Sheep Breeds a Government of Wolves!)
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To: org.whodat

LOL! I’d almost forgotten about those! They’re still around!

http://animation.about.com/library/tutorials/bl8ball1.htm


51 posted on 07/05/2011 2:28:35 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

http://shop.mobileweb.ebay.com/searchresults?cmd=SKW&kw=magic+eight+ball&x=27&y=20


52 posted on 07/05/2011 2:34:00 PM PDT by org.whodat
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To: Dr.Zoidberg
There’s an old concept

It definitely predates disco and pacman. :)

The first time I heard about GIGO was in the 60's when I was learning about FORTRAN and COBOL.

53 posted on 07/05/2011 2:51:28 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: RexBeach
How did William McKinley make out? Hmmmm.

OK, and then he got shot.

54 posted on 07/05/2011 2:54:36 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

bfl


55 posted on 07/05/2011 2:56:23 PM PDT by shield (Rev 2:9 "Woe unto those who say they are Judah and are not, but are of the synaGOGue of Satan.")
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To: smoothsailing

This sounds like the computer from Wargames (1983). The Wopper I believe it’s name was.

A good flick except the communist Matthew Broder*ick was in it.


56 posted on 07/05/2011 3:01:55 PM PDT by crusader71
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To: xjcsa

Palin also supported awful RINO John McCain against a primary challenge in his own state of AZ. People make mistakes, and they take stands for purely political reasons. But no one seems to be asking Perry why he has a habit, a repeated pattern, of supporting scum for the Presidency again and again (Al Gore, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain...). Clearly this man’s stance as a social and fiscal conservative is just a pose.


57 posted on 07/05/2011 3:24:35 PM PDT by hellbender
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To: dusttoyou

Rick Perry was a Texas Democrat long before he became a Republican 1990, or thereabouts.

Per Wikipedia:

“In 1984, Perry was elected to the Texas House of Representatives as a Democrat from a district (64) that included his home county of Haskell. He served on the House Appropriations and Calendars committees during his three two-year terms in office. He befriended fellow freshman state representative Lena Guerrero of Austin, a staunch liberal Democrat who endorsed Perry’s reelection bid in 2006 on personal, rather than philosophical, grounds. Perry was part of the “Pit Bulls”, a group of Appropriations members who sat on the lower dais in the committee room (or “pit”) who pushed for austere state budgets during the 1980s.”

“Perry supported Al Gore in the 1988 Democratic presidential primaries and was chairman of the Gore campaign in Texas.”

“In 1989, The Dallas Morning News named him one of the most effective legislators in the 71st Legislature. That same year, Perry announced that he was joining the Republican Party.”

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

Now, I’m not a Texan and couldn’t care less who Texans choose for governor. Evidently, he is popular or he wouldn’t keep being re-elected.

But I consider a person’s past political service when they run for President or Vice President. A lack of political service I don’t consider a minus; if our founders didn’t make it a requirement in the Article II, Section 1, eligibility requirements, they no doubt had a reason for considering it unimportant.

I am looking over Perry’s past political history. What I’m seeing is a political wheeler-dealer with Globalist ties, such as attending Bilderberger meetings, which results in Gov.Perry getting a thumbs down from me.

I won’t vote for him if he is the Republican candidate. He is NOT a Conservative.


58 posted on 07/05/2011 8:09:15 PM PDT by SatinDoll (NO FOREIGN NATIONALS AS OUR PRESIDENT!)
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To: SatinDoll

Guessin you would also not have voted for Reagan. PDS! Obviously you all see Perry as being a viable threat to one of the other wannabes you prefer.


59 posted on 07/05/2011 8:22:41 PM PDT by dusttoyou ("Progressives" are wee-weeing all over themselves, Foc nobama)
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To: hellbender
Clearly this man’s stance as a social and fiscal conservative is just a pose.

So you think his endorsements are a more important indicator than his governing record?

60 posted on 07/05/2011 9:28:22 PM PDT by xjcsa (Ridiculing the ridiculous since the day I was born.)
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