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1 posted on 07/03/2011 7:46:31 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

True!!!!


2 posted on 07/03/2011 7:49:05 AM PDT by org.whodat
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To: blam
Here's What's In Gary Shilling's Huge Guide The Coming Collapse In China
3 posted on 07/03/2011 7:49:22 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Are we now heading for a deflationary depression?

Where's QE3?

4 posted on 07/03/2011 7:52:09 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Items that i am buying are still going up. I look without any luck for cheaper prices. Think gasoline, tires, food, etc.


5 posted on 07/03/2011 7:52:13 AM PDT by Citizen Tom Paine (An old sailor sends)
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To: blam
that the move is based on speculation, not on fundamentals.

False!!! The best guide on Earth lies in inflation, and that factual evidence tells all.

The Dollar is going to hell.

8 posted on 07/03/2011 8:01:39 AM PDT by OldNavyVet (One trillion days, at 365 days per year, is 2,739,726,027 years ... almost 3 billion years)
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To: blam

In a normal world, Schilling might be right. But commodities are the last refuge to fight inflation. Where can those investments run too? Certainly not financials.


9 posted on 07/03/2011 8:03:02 AM PDT by DaxtonBrown (HARRY: Money Mob & Influence (See my Expose on Reid on amazon.com written by me!))
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To: blam
Weather has been bad, but it's likely to turn, leading to huge surpluses and bumper-crops for agricultural commodities.

Maybe, maybe not.

The river bottoms here are still flooded and it's July. The crops still aren't in. Maybe it is better elsewhere, but we're going to run out of growing season. For much of the farmland near the Missouri River it's the same. The Souris is dropping slowly, but there are still 4000 homes in the water, most were out of the 100 year flood plain, many outside of the 500 year flood plain. That's going to dent the Durum crop as well.

10 posted on 07/03/2011 8:08:14 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: blam

Lets see now...the earth’s population is going to reach 7 billion people this year (it was 1 billion in the mid-1800’s), governments are printing money in order to bail out their economies and billions of Chindians (Chinese and Indians) are moving from 19th century lifestyles to 21st century lifestyles. That doesn’t sound like the environment for a collapse of commodity prices. Is it possible that Gary wants to pick up a few “shillings” on gullible sellers in the commodity markets?


12 posted on 07/03/2011 8:20:43 AM PDT by NRG1973
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To: blam
Maybe so, maybe no.

COULD CHINA BE THE NEXT GREECE?

13 posted on 07/03/2011 8:28:25 AM PDT by SouthTexas (You cannot bargain with the devil, shut the government down.)
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To: blam
Here's the problem: in too many equities exchanges around the world, the minimum margin requirements for trading in commodities futures are WAY too low--it should be more like 20%, not the 7-10% found in most exchanges.

If the whole world had a 20% MMR, the price of many commodities would probably be 15-20% lower. Crude oil, in my opinion, should be in the US$65 to US$70 per barrel range right now.

15 posted on 07/03/2011 8:29:10 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: blam

Not according to this;

http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424053111903617204576411791590055646.html?mod=TWM_pastedition_1#articleTabs_panel_article%3D1


16 posted on 07/03/2011 8:31:10 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Always Remember You're Unique.......(Just Like everyone Else.))
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To: blam

As I often do, I found the comments of the readers to be more interesting than the piece itself.

And a little depressing. Some pretty ignorant loons out there.

A little history would instructive if people would look at it.

One of the biggest collapses in oil prices occurred when a conservative President presided over two things. He eliminated price controls on oil and gas, and did not stand in the way of exploration and drilling. And the evil oil industry drilled and pumped its way into a price collapse. Kind of puts the lie to all the conspiracy theories of the left.

My point is that, though there are obviously many variables in the mix, like most things it’s just not that complicated.

IMO, many of today’s problems are made out to be much more complicated than they really are. And the reason for that is also not too complicated.

Simple solutions are not necessarily *easy*. So instead we make things complicated because no one wants to make the hard choices. Add a few evil straw men into the mix and bingo, we are no longer responsible for our own mess.


17 posted on 07/03/2011 8:43:31 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s ( If you can remember the 60s....you weren't really there)
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