Posted on 06/07/2011 4:29:31 AM PDT by GonzoII
Any political benefit President Obama received from the death of Osama bin Laden is gone, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll that shows Obama facing a tough re-election battle against former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
A slight plurality of Americans now disapproves of Obama, a significant drop since a one-day poll conducted the day after the bin Laden killing showed Obama's approval at a robust 56 percent. Today, just 47 percent of Americans approve of Obama, while 49 percent disapprove. A majority of independents, 53 percent, disapproves of his job performance.
That drop comes as the percentage of Americans who disapprove of how Obama is handling the economy has a hit a new high, 59 percent. More Americans now trust congressional Republicans (45 percent) to handle the economy than trust Obama (42 percent). The poll was conducted over a four-day period from last Thursday to Sunday; of the four nights of interviews, three took place after the disappointing May jobs report was released by the Department of Labor last Friday.
Romney's lead over Obama among registered voters is a narrow, 49 percent to 46 percent advantage. Among all adults, the two are tied at 47 percent.
But Romney's slight edge comes from some unlikely places. According to the poll, Romney runs even among women, a group Obama carried by 13 points against Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., in 2008. Romney has an 18-point lead among white women; McCain carried that group by only 7 points.
In the Republican primary, Romney has a slight lead over former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, 21 percent to 17 percent. The third-place candidate, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, earns just eight percent of the vote.
But Romney has baggage to contend with before he makes it to a showdown with Obama. By a two-to-one margin, Republicans oppose "the health care reform plan that ... Romney put into place in Massachusetts." Still, 20 percent of those who oppose that health care reform plan still support him for the nomination, and 88 percent support him against Obama.
Though Palin finishes second in the primary, she trails Obama by 15 points in a general-election matchup, and 64 percent of Americans say they definitely would not vote for her for president.
Obama trails Romney among registered voters, but he defeats other Republican candidates, even crossing the 50-percent threshold against each of them. He leads Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn. (51 percent to 40 percent); former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (50 percent to 44 percent); former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman (50 percent to 40 percent); Palin (55 percent to 40 percent); and former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (50 percent to 41 percent).
The poll was conducted June 2-5 by Langer Research Associates, among a sample of 1,002 adults. Results among adults have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent; the margin of error is higher for subgroups.
Palin 17% Unannounced non-candidate (at this time)
For those who say she isn't running, it's looking more & more like you are wrong.
I think she is playing out her own strategy and timing schedule for maximum impact. Certainly not until after the movie The Undefeated is released.
This film, although she didn't commission it, is too juicy not to take advantage of. The bus tour, while not a campaign tour, was brilliant. Upstaging Romney's (the so-called “front runner”) announcement was genius. She didn't step on his toes, she (politically) smashed them, with a wink and a smile. Page one (Palin)vs page three (Romney), huge page one photo (Palin)vs small page one photo (Romney).
I loved Sarah Palin. Then I began falling out of love with her. Now, I am falling back in love with her all over again. I was for her running, I was against her running. Now, I'll be tremendously dissappointed if she doesn't run.
I think she is the Dems worst nightmare, regardless of what they say. Huntsman? “C’mon Man”. Cain? “C’mon Man”. Pawlenty, Santorum, Newt? C'MON MAN”.
Romney and Bachmann are her only formidable opponents. Bachmann (whom I also love) is just not well enough known. I think Palin beats her easily.
Romney has two millstones around his neck (well, at least two big ones), Romneycare and Mormonism. He is stuck with both of them. They will be his undoing.
A good campaign idea would be for Palin to suggest for everyone to send Romney a pair of Flip Flops. (dollar store quality). It could be fun, the media would cover this.
Run, Sarah, RUN!
Source? You've used the poll numbers to discredit Palin, can you now use it to back your "8%"?
Never underestimate the power of the MSM or the Leftist internet following;
http://www.politico.com/blogs/onmedia/0611/Palin_emails_to_be_published_by_MSNBCcom_Friday.html
Does this accurately describe the Alaska race? Me thinks not, when the hard to spell name is Murkowski (which they allowed various spellings of), the “Kennedy” name of Alaska. Joe Miller, was a flawed candidate with corruption baggage that Alaskans had had enough of. To blame this loss on Palin is ridiculous and you know it. (see my tag line, you should try it).
I used to place Bachmann in the top field. However. since she added ex McCain staffers and that ex Huckabee RHINO to her entourage I have lost faith that she is a new hope of a true Constitutional politician. In any case for me there is still Cain, Palin, West(if he can be persuaded), and perhaps just a few others who one can be as certain as possible to be Founding Fathers supportive.
YAWN!
It is far easier to LOSE points than to GAIN points and Sarah Palin's trend has been "going South" since her introduction to the national stage. Lately, the more exposure she gets, the farther South she goes.
If there is going to be a 20% difference, it will most likely be that the number who will "definitely NOT" vote for Sarah Palin will rise from the current 65% to 85%.
LOL, ROFL, HA, HA, HA, He, he, he, Oh my bellie hurts! You are soooooooooo funny. Tee he, Tee he.
It’s not an out-of-hand statement to say that poll is garbage.
Is Cain even in this poll?
Yes...........
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_060511_ATMIDNIGHT.html
Well, at least he places. He does far better in others. What is bothersome about his one (I know its just one poll) is the 60+% that said they definitely would NOT vote for Palin.
If she runs, she has a lot of work to do even if this poll is an outlier...which is hard to say this far out.
Herman Cain *could* be that guy.
So soros is footing the bill to flood FR with Romney supporters. As has been said...Game On!
It’s good we are in as much agreement as you indicate. However. I disagree that the USA is not ready for another black POTUSA. The fact that one black(?) man has been shown to be the anti thesis of what the Founders set up will not diminish the goal of any other qualified black person. Black, white, red, or whatever color I believe the body of USA citizens will come to once again see that the USA is an exceptional Nation if the right person is the light for that perception. I believe Cain belongs in that group of right persons. His education was well based. His work experience including high corporate achievements is solid. I understand he has had navy service. I understand he was on the board of governors of the Kansas City Fed Reserve branch. He is a proven communicator. And above all to date he demonstrates a true understanding of what the Founders of this Nation intended.
Well, when one considers the outstanding competition on the conservative side, it’s clear that Sarah stands to gain the lion’s share of their supporters’ votes as they drop out. Cain, Bachmann, Santorum, and even many Paul fans will naturally drift toward Sarah as the primaries continue.
She’s already at 17%, and voters have not yet been educated about Milt’s dismal record as governor. And her movie has yet to be released, which is extremely impressive, according to Mark Levin and others. Bob
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