Anyone leading a major poll right now has a chance.
It's insane to claim Ron Paul has a chance to win the nomination and Cain doesn't.
I like Michele Bachmann but Cain is a way ahead of her at this point in regard to being the potential nominee. Right now, only Sarah Palin deciding to run could derail Cain as the conservative frontrunner.
I’m looking at name recognition and strongly favorable.
The Zogby interactive poll is emailed to selected people who have signed up to do the Zogby polls. So, it’s less scientific than regular polls, but a little bit more scientific than the online polls that Ron Paul typically wins.
Note - Ron Paul is #2 in NH in the new CNN poll
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2011/images/05/23/topnh1.pdf
Ron Paul is #2, behind Palin, in the new Texas poll
“Right now, only Sarah Palin deciding to run could derail Cain as the conservative frontrunner.”
I agree. If Palin runs, Cain will have a fight on his hands. Otherwise, this is his to lose. [If he has a scandal or makes a major verbal slip, for example.] In this day and age, people can rise from obscurity if ...
1. They have a strong base that is willing to work hard.
2. They know how to lead and expand that core base.
3. They are mentally prepared and make the right moves well in advance.