Posted on 04/21/2011 12:48:04 PM PDT by library user
~ EXCERPT ~
This is how 2012 looks right now to elections guru Larry Sabato:
Here is how the math works: Include the “Leans” states with the “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows: 247 Democratic EVs, 180 Republican EVs, 111 Undecided. Just counting “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows: 196 Democratic EVs, 170 Republican EVs, 172 Undecided.
Of the tossup states, I would give the Rs IN (11), FL (29) and certainly at least one of VA, NC or OH. Some Leans D in the Upper Midwest are vulnerable, too.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.reuters.com ...
Didn’t he have the Dems losing 4-5 seats last election until 2 weeks prior?
Pray for America
Why in the world is Texas only a “likely”? Obama wouldn’t beat a ham sandwich in Texas.
I’m pleased to see Colorado in the toss-up category. Used to be we were reliably Republican, but there’s been a huge influx of illegals and liberals in the last 20 years, and now our governor, both senators, and all but two congressmen are Democrats.
This map would work if 2009-2010 never happened.
Sabato is dreaming.
Wonder how that map changes if Trump somehow manages to make it? And how much money that’ll cost the Democrats just to bring that new map back to this one...
Michigan lost a seat.
What are you saying? I’m just curious. That Dem loses will be much worse than the map shows?
Because we are slowly getting the blue spotted virus with each election cycle. Harris County (includes Houston) turned blue in the 2008 election.
This seems a little devoid of reality. Wisconsin (according to the last election) is no linger dem. Ohio (my home) is not a toss-up as we just elected a Republican Governor and state legistlature. Pennsylvania is a toss-up at best.
Sabato is an always wrong puke.
Sabato often skews left, and he certainly overestimates the jackasses with this map.
Indiana and Ohio are SOLID R’s for 2012. Likely Wisconsin, Michigan and PA, too.
NO WAY Obama can win without those.
Don’t forget about the Mescans
Actually, his predictions for last year's elections were almost totally on the money. The GOP did a little worse in the Senate than he had predicted, IIRC.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.