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Economists see oil price spike as threat to the economy (who would have guessed?)
Yahoo ^

Posted on 03/21/2011 4:29:25 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA

The U.S. economy faces numerous obstacles that threaten to derail the recovery. But economists are most fearful of one major headwind: oil prices.

More than two-thirds of the 23 economists surveyed by CNNMoney identified high oil prices as the most serious risk facing the economy.

As uprisings spread across the Middle East and North Africa, prices have soared about 15% in the past two months, pushing gas prices higher. And as the situation in Libya escalates, economists are growing more jittery about oil prices, even in the face of other threats to the economy, like the crisis in Japan, cuts in government spending and continued weakness in the housing sector.

"Oil and gasoline remain a very big worry for me which have been compounded by the events going on in Japan," said Bernard Baumohl, head of the Economic Outlook Group in Princeton, N.J. "But we don't have any let-up in the events going on in the Middle East and North Africa."

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bhoeconomy; doubledip; energy; gas; inflation; obama; oil; unemployment
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Where can I get a job stating the obvious?

Last weeks line was that oil would drop because of Japan, now we are back to the old line.

Wonder what it will be next week?

1 posted on 03/21/2011 4:29:28 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA
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To: Red in Blue PA

You just can’t get anything past those economists...


2 posted on 03/21/2011 4:30:56 AM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: Red in Blue PA

That is brilliant analysis.


3 posted on 03/21/2011 4:32:13 AM PDT by yldstrk (My heroes have always been cowboys)
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To: Red in Blue PA

Whatever caused the drop at the pump early last week, it went back up to the recent highs Saturday morning here in Northern Indiana. After the resolution, but, before the attacks.


4 posted on 03/21/2011 4:34:47 AM PDT by John W (Natural-born US citizen since 1955)
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To: Red in Blue PA

” Where can I get a job stating the obvious? “

First, you need to develop a talent for ‘treating the symptom’ (high gas prices) and ignoring the disease that causes it (out-of-control Government)....


5 posted on 03/21/2011 4:40:56 AM PDT by Uncle Ike (Rope is cheap, and there are lots of trees...)
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To: Red in Blue PA

I remember when gas was over $5 a gallon. A guy in front of me puts $3.50 through the window. It was all he had and he had to get to work. I bought him $10 more in gas and so did the guy behind me in line that saw what was going on.

The guy was going broke driving to work.


6 posted on 03/21/2011 4:47:40 AM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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Comment #7 Removed by Moderator

To: Red in Blue PA
However, I do think that my suggestion of gasoline going over US$4/US gallon may start to drop demand, because at this point gasoline starts to become a price elastic (demand determined by price) product. Small wonder why sales of the new Hyundai Elantra has been strong, and Hyundai expects strong sales of the new version of the Hyundai Accent when it comes out in a few months.
8 posted on 03/21/2011 4:59:37 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: Red in Blue PA

*


9 posted on 03/21/2011 5:03:46 AM PDT by fightinJAG (I am sick of people adding comments to titles in the title box. Thank you.)
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To: RayChuang88

A story was in the news this morning of how there is now panic buying of Priuses, with some dealerships now charging thousands more than they cost.


10 posted on 03/21/2011 5:04:48 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (For the first time in my adult life, I'm scared of my government.)
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To: fightinJAG

These economists are geniuses. Was this “unexpected”? Is someone paying these fools?


11 posted on 03/21/2011 5:05:00 AM PDT by hal ogen (1st amendment or reeducation camp?)
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To: hal ogen

The amazing thing to me is that they get multi-million dollar bonuses for this type of “analysis”.


12 posted on 03/21/2011 5:06:34 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (For the first time in my adult life, I'm scared of my government.)
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To: RayChuang88
However, I do think that my suggestion of gasoline going over US$4/US gallon may start to drop demand, because at this point gasoline starts to become a price elastic (demand determined by price) product. Small wonder why sales of the new Hyundai Elantra has been strong, and Hyundai expects strong sales of the new version of the Hyundai Accent when it comes out in a few months.

I hope that you realize that demand destruction can be caused by recessions. The recession we are currently in is already resrticting the amount of gasoline, and other oil distillates, that we consume. I agree that high gas prices will destroy demand in the USA...but it will be because we will drift back into recession. There are ~12 million unemployed people that simply can't afford to buy a more energy efficient automobile until they get a job and pay off some of their debts.

13 posted on 03/21/2011 5:10:18 AM PDT by NRG1973
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To: Red in Blue PA; ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; stephenjohnbanker; DoughtyOne; calcowgirl; Gilbo_3; ...
RE :”As uprisings spread across the Middle East and North Africa, prices have soared about 15% in the past two months, pushing gas prices higher. And as the situation in Libya escalates, economists are growing more jittery about oil prices, even in the face of other threats to the economy, like the crisis in Japan, cuts in government spending and continued weakness in the housing sector.

You know what would be funny? If some Republicans came out and said that Obama’s war on Libya was all about oil and called the Democrats hypocrites on it. Just a thought.

Joe Scarbouro was throwing all the Democrats anti-war arguments back at them this morning, it was fun to watch. Like "Are we now going to bomb every country with a tyrant? If we dont remove Gaddafi now after attacking him he will use his oil money to get revenge." Good point Joe, especially when we are broke.

14 posted on 03/21/2011 5:13:14 AM PDT by sickoflibs ("It's not the taxes, the redistribution is the federal spending=tax delayed")
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To: NRG1973

“I hope that you realize that demand destruction can be caused by recessions. The recession we are currently in is already resrticting the amount of gasoline, and other oil distillates, that we consume. I agree that high gas prices will destroy demand in the USA...but it will be because we will drift back into recession. There are ~12 million unemployed people that simply can’t afford to buy a more energy efficient automobile until they get a job and pay off some of their debts. “

AMEN!


15 posted on 03/21/2011 5:51:52 AM PDT by Marty62 (Marty60)
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To: Marty62

That is why forget polls on Obama and Democrats the public want cheap enegry, I am so tired of Progressives thinks all these new rights, however 1 right the american people think they have is CHEAP OIL.


16 posted on 03/21/2011 6:01:49 AM PDT by scooby321
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To: scooby321

Not really. If the price were based on reality, not some political agenda Americans would accept it and adjust.

The price of energy is Politically driven. BIG DIFFERENCE.


17 posted on 03/21/2011 6:21:10 AM PDT by Marty62 (Marty60)
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To: Red in Blue PA

Spending cuts by local, state and the federal governments:
6 of 23 say it the biggest headwind for the recovery
8 of 23 say it is the second greatest threat.

I would have been encouraged if 23 of 23 economists had said the rise of democratic communism in the US is the biggest threat to our economy and nation — PERIOD. Instead, these so-called “economists” want to continue policies that will bankrupt America, cause us to lose our global leadership position, and ultimately impoverish all of us. Only brain-dead idiots would be in favor of continuing on the failed path of borrowing from the Chinese, our kids and our grand-kids for today’s consumption.


18 posted on 03/21/2011 6:38:03 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Red in Blue PA

It’s not about stating the obvious, it’s about “when” you state it.
In order to be right, you almost have to become a member of the procrastinators club.
So, far, we’ve been 100% correct on our New Years eve predictions for 2010.


19 posted on 03/21/2011 6:42:59 AM PDT by stylin19a
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To: Red in Blue PA

Would that be an, “UNEXPECTED” spike in prices of goods & services?


20 posted on 03/21/2011 6:52:36 AM PDT by 23 Everest (A gun in hand is better than a cop on the phone.)
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