Not dismissing your point, but that is Africa, not the ME.
The Caliphate will stretch from India to Spain. By the end of the year.
So..let me understand you. Are you saying that there will be governmental systems in place elected by muslims....?
IOW's imam's that are Heads of State...in India to Spain...by next December.
Is that exactly what you are saying?
Either it already does (Pakistan through Morocco,) or it doesn't (India and Spain are and will be excluded).
If by "Caliphate" you mean a united Islam under a single political / religious leader(ship), then I'll take that bet. The Pakis hate the Persians hate the Arabs, the Egyptians feel superior, the Moroccans like their King, the Jordanian Kingdom will remain separate, Iraq won't join because it would first fall into a decade of civil war, etc.