The Betfair Contrarian: Why Sarah Palin will win the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination

BetFair ^ | March 2, 2011

[2ndDivisionVet]

Lots of good points. Agree or disagree?

[Crim]

Palin / West ‘12

[jessduntno]

[Misplaced Texan]

No one else will even come close for the Republican nomination.

[Frantzie]

I assume BetFair is a bookie in the UK? They are almost always the best at handicapping political races. It usually isn’t even close because when bookies get it wrong, they pay out money. They are VERY good at what they do.

[Darkwolf377]

it is not unheard of for running mates in unsuccessful campaigns to later earn a chance to stand for the big job, with Bob Dole a recent Republican example

sigh

[al baby]

I voted for her the last time and if my dad dosent run I will vote for her again

[MrEdd]

it’s premature.

When she arived on the scene, palin was a breath of fresh air, although McAmnesty was and is quite properly a deal breaker.

Now there are names popping into the scene with even better pedegrees.

Given a choice between Palin or Brewer for example, I am going Brewer all the way.

[FrankR]

[2ndDivisionVet]

I don’t believe that Gov. Jan Brewer is considering running for president. As for the others with “better pedigrees” I hope you’re not referring to individuals like Gov. Chris Christie.

[2ndDivisionVet]

BINGO!

[2ndDivisionVet]

FDR is another example of the same thing and he won FOUR terms as president.

[2ndDivisionVet]

[upsdriver]

...but it is not unheard of for running mates in unsuccessful campaigns to later earn a chance to stand for the big job, with Bob Dole a recent Republican example, battling with Bill Clinton in 1996 having previously been part of a failed Gerald Ford bid.

Comparing Bob Dole to Sarah Palin doesn't work. As a lifetime GOP insider, Dole got the nomination because it was his turn. Even though Sarah Palin was the vice presidential nominee, she remains a party outsider.

The fact that she has kept that outsider status appeals to many of us. We are sick and tired of putting our trust in people whose goal, once elected, is to serve themselves at the expense of our country, our dollars and our vanishing freedoms.

[Darkwolf377]

FDR is another example of the same thing and he won FOUR terms as president.

I don't know if FDR's a good example to hold up considering today's issues, society, and all that's come since then.

We have a pretty weak line-up for 2012, and it's the perfect opportunity for someone.

[2ndDivisionVet]

What I’m saying is that he was an unsuccessful vice presidential candidate when the 1920 Democratic National Convention chose Roosevelt as the candidate for Vice President of the United States on the ticket headed by Governor James M. Cox of Ohio, but he went on to win four presidential races.

[org.whodat]

Bookies, never pay out money, they work both sides of the bet, just like hedge funds, they only want the 20% drag.

[Darkwolf377]

Gotcha.

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks 2ndDivisionVet. Obama will be difficult to beat in 2012. He has his locked-in constituency of racists, and the racist kids who backed him before they could vote will have spent up to four years in school having his talking points and his personality cult pushed by members of the NEA. Meanwhile, older voters who might have voted against him (including those who voted for him the first time out) may not even be alive in 2012. Demwits have been rigging elections for a long, long time. And their partisan shills in the media aren’t going anywhere.

Furthermore, he’s strengthening his candidacy by bashing Jews and pushing for the world caliphate — he’s a wartime president, and that alone weakens any of his rivals.

[Cacique]

for l8r view