That is about 15 million people. I HIGHLY doubt that many will be buying a vehicle.
Total 2009 sales were 14.2 million as a result of cash for clunkers. Many people have put off replacing the car since then and many others see high gas prices and want to downsize to a more fuel efficient car. I don’t think 15 million cars sold next year would be an outrageous number given that less than 12 million sold last year, I believe.
It is not like they are calling for sales of 20 million or something.