“random sample of 352,840 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, selected using random-digit-dial sampling.”
Better yet, this is not even likely voter sample which tends to be older and more Republican.
Well that explains it. Adults.
Lemme run the analysis based on last year.
DEMOCRAT ADVANTAGE:
(+1 advantage means a 49/51 split)
(+10 advantage means a 40/60 split)
HI +23 (+18)
VT +19 (+14)
MD +13 (+11)
NY +15 (+11)
DE +13 (+10)
MA +13 (+9)
IL +13 (+9)
CA +12 (+9)
CT +12 (+8)
RI +14 (+6)
WA +9 (+6)
OR +9 (+6)
MI +9 (+5)
NM +8 (+6)
NJ +8 (+4)
NV +7 (+4)
ME +9 (+3)
WI +7 (+2)
MN +6 (+2)
PA +6 (+2)
CO +5 (+2)
NH +5 (TOSSUP) (4)
IA +5 (TOSSUP) (7)
VA +4 (TOSSUP) (13)
OH +3 (TOSSUP) (20)
FL +2 (TOSSUP) (27)
IN = TOSSUP (+3 GOP) (11)
NC = TOSSUP (+2 GOP) (15)
EV SWING = (+97)
Currently GOP +5