DEMOCRAT ADVANTAGE:
(+1 advantage means a 49/51 split)
(+10 advantage means a 40/60 split)
HI +23 (+18)
VT +19 (+14)
MD +13 (+11)
NY +15 (+11)
DE +13 (+10)
MA +13 (+9)
IL +13 (+9)
CA +12 (+9)
CT +12 (+8)
RI +14 (+6)
WA +9 (+6)
OR +9 (+6)
MI +9 (+5)
NM +8 (+6)
NJ +8 (+4)
NV +7 (+4)
ME +9 (+3)
WI +7 (+2)
MN +6 (+2)
PA +6 (+2)
CO +5 (+2)
NH +5 (TOSSUP) (4)
IA +5 (TOSSUP) (7)
VA +4 (TOSSUP) (13)
OH +3 (TOSSUP) (20)
FL +2 (TOSSUP) (27)
IN = TOSSUP (+3 GOP) (11)
NC = TOSSUP (+2 GOP) (15)
EV SWING = (+97)
Currently GOP +5