Posted on 01/21/2011 2:00:57 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
GENEVA (Reuters) – Last year tied for the hottest year on record, confirming a long-term warming trend which will continue unless greenhouse gas emissions are cut, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Thursday.
The first 10 years of the millennium proved to be the hottest decade since records began in the 19th century, it said.
"The main signal is that the warming trend continues and is being strengthened year after year," WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud told a news conference.
"The trend, unfortunately, will continue for a number of years but the amplitude will depend on the amount of greenhouse gases released," the Frenchman added. "It will depend on action taken to minimize the release of greenhouse gases."
Jarraud said the latest data should convince doubters about the growing evidence for man-made climate change. "If they look at it in an unbiased way, it should convince them, or hopefully a few of them, that the skeptical position is untenable."
2010 was also marked by further melting of Arctic ice -- in December its extent was at its lowest on record, the WMO said -- and by extreme weather, including Russia's heatwave and devastating floods in Pakistan.
Rising temperatures, already about 0.8 degree Celsius above pre-industrial times, mean the world will struggle to limit warming to below 2 degrees Celsius, a target agreed by almost 200 nations at U.N. talks last month in Mexico.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
It was 24 when I got up this morning (Panhandle WV) and is now 19 with the sun setting. The low is predicted to be 10. It has been freezing or below for WEEKS! I’d love to see some warming...
Extreme cold warnings, Minnesota record lows below -40F ( Global warming?--Not there )
See #3.
be sure to click the “thumbs up” on the anti-global warming scam postings there!
Do We Really Know Earth’s Temperature?
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Errors in IPCC climate science at warwickhughes.com ^ | January 14th, 2011 | Warwick Hughes
Posted on Tue 18 Jan 2011 07:24:19 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
Guest article by Pat Frank
We’ve all read the diagnosis, for example here, that the global climate has suffered “unprecedented warming,” since about 1900. The accepted increase across the 20th century is 0.7 (+/-)0.2 C. As an experimental chemist, I always wondered at that “(+/-)0.2 C.” In my experience, it seemed an awfully narrow uncertainty, given the exigencies of instruments and outdoor measurements.
When I read the literature, going right back to such basics as Phil Jones’ early papers [1, 2], I found no mention of instrumental uncertainty in their discussions of sources of error.
The same is true in Jim Hansen’s papers, e.g. [3]. It was as though the instrumental readings themselves were canonical, and the only uncertainties were in inhomogeneities arising from such things as station moves, instrumental changes, change in time of observation, and so on.
But Phil Brohan’s paper in 2006 [4], on which Phil Jones was a co-author, discussed error analysis more thoroughly than previously done. Warwick has posted, and here on the change that occurred in 2005, when the UK Met Office took over for the Climate Research Unit of the UEA, in compiling the global average temperature record. So, maybe Phil Brohan decided to be more forthcoming about their error models.
The error analysis in Brohan, 2006, revealed that they’d been taking a signal averaging approach to instrumental error. The assumption was that all the instrumental error was random, independent, identically distributed (iid) error. This kind of error averages out to zero when large numbers of measurements are averaged together.
To make the long story short, it turned out that no one had ever surveyed the temperature sensors of climate stations to see whether the assumption of uniformly iid measurement errors could be empirically validated.
That led to my study, and the study led to the paper that is just out in Energy and Environment [5]. Here’s the title and the abstract:
Title: “Uncertainty in the Global Average Surface Air Temperature Index: A Representative Lower Limit”
Abstract: “Sensor measurement uncertainty has never been fully considered in prior appraisals of global average surface air temperature. The estimated average (+/-)0.2 C station error has been incorrectly assessed as random, and the systematic error from
uncontrolled variables has been invariably neglected. The systematic errors in measurements from three ideally sited and maintained temperature sensors are calculated herein. Combined with the (+/-)0.2 C average station error, a representative lower-limit uncertainty of (+/-)0.46 C was found for any global annual surface air temperature anomaly. This (+/-)0.46 C reveals that the global surface air temperature anomaly trend from 1880 through 2000 is statistically
indistinguishable from 0 C, and represents a lower limit of calibration uncertainty for climate models and for any prospective physically justifiable proxy reconstruction of paleo-temperature. The rate and magnitude of 20th century warming are thus unknowable, and suggestions of an unprecedented trend in 20th century global air temperature are unsustainable.”
Here’s the upshot of the study in graphical form; Figure 3 from the paper showing the 20th century average surface air temperature trend, with the lower limit of instrumental uncertainty as grey error bars.
Figure Legend: (•), the global surface air temperature anomaly series through 2009, as updated on 18 February 2010, (data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/). The grey error bars show the annual anomaly lower-limit uncertainty of (+/-)0.46 C.
The lower limit of error was based in part on the systematic error displayed by the Minimum-Maximum Temperature System under ideal site conditions. I chose the MMTS because that sensor is the replacement instrument of choice brought into the USHCN since about 1990.
The dumbasses will never realize that warming would actually be a good thing, if it were actually happening. Saddly it looks like we are cooling instead.
I’m moving to Mississippi in the Spring, but may make it a little sooner. Waiting to finalize a sale. It’s been cool down there as well, but not -anything.
“it said.”
—Thus spoke the Creature from the Black Lagoon.
Is there a credible, scientific report, paper, or study that supports this observation? The Frenchman is sputtering utter nonsense, IMO. There is NO connection between carbon dioxide emissions and climate change. NONE. The only connection is made by people with disordered minds, avarice, and greed.
The Sun is the principal source and cause of climate change, especially the affect of the Sun on water vapor in the atmosphere.
2010 Charts Warmest Temperatures on Record
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Vanessa Evans Vanessa Evans – Thu Jan 20, 7:36 pm ET
The UN's World Meteorological Organization has declared 2010 as the joint winner for the warmest year on record, tying with the previous numbers posted for 2005. They made the announcement after compiling data from the three biggest agencies that monitor that sort of information -- NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the United States, and the Met Office in the U.K.
The Met Office's numbers taken by themselves would have put 2010 just slightly below 2005's record highs, but both NOAA and NASA placed 2010 at the top. The data from all three agencies say many environmental scientists, paints a pretty straightforward picture of the global temperature trend, as all ten of the warmest years on record have occurred since 1998.
I think it is just sad that we share such a sense of humor. Maybe we should seek treatment. ;-D
The worst thing that can happen with a lie is for it to become science. Once scientists can make a buck out of a lie there is no stopping the ways they can tell it, or the evidence they will manufacture.
In regards to Hansen ....see this:
It's 'the hottest year on record', as long as you don't take its temperature (Hansen again )
And:
Hansen: US Democracy Not Competent To Deal With Global Warming Calls on China to “Save Humanity”
That article illustrates Hansen's Agenda....
Now regarding the UK Met Office:
Laptop beats Met Supercomputer: SOI index (at record high) scores a win. (Global Cooling )
See #17.
Every year for the last 20 has been the “hottest year on record.” Then each year it comes out that well er, they didn’t count December or January or something. The claim is annually made and annually revised or corrected, well, not corrected, the “error” is admitted but what that does to the status of a given year is never mentioned.
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