Posted on 01/20/2011 2:45:26 AM PST by markomalley
North Dakota Sen. Kent Conrad's retirement plans underscore a big problem for Democrats in 2012 and beyond. Farm Belt and Southern voters who prefer a Republican president but have often backed moderate Democrats for Congress seem increasingly inclined to vote GOP in all federal races.
Republicans rejoiced at Conrad's announcement this week, convinced they can win the open seat in 2012 and hold it for years to come. They see it as a replay of last fall's North Dakota election, in which Republican John Hoeven easily won the Senate seat vacated after 18 years by Democrat Byron Dorgan.
They also point to neighboring South Dakota. After Republican John Thune narrowly defeated Democratic Sen. Tom Daschle in 2004, Democrats didn't even bother last year to oppose Thune's re-election. Republicans feel they can hold the seat for many years, and they are eyeing South Dakota's other Senate seat, now held by Democrat Tim Johnson.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Big Problem for RATS is a Good Thing.
You see why they are getting more bold...they are shrinking.
After two years more of Reids shennanigans they will be wiped out big time in 12.
I just pray that the United States will survive as a free country long enough that the damage Obama does to the Dem party will allow us to repair the damage that Obama does to America.
There’s a bumper crop of Red State Senate Democrats up for re-election next year and all of them have talked a good game of being fiscal conservatives while voting Hard Left in Washington. Their records will tell the story - they are liberal and that’s not good for them on their home turf. Payback’s a b*tch and its about time!
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As things now stand, I think there is a 90% chance we will pick up Brown’s seat in Ohio, a 75% chance we will pick up Webb’s seat in Virginia, a 75% chance we can pick up Tester’s seat in Montana, a 50% chance we can pick up McCaskill’s seat in Missouri, a 49% chance we can pick up Kohl’s seat in Wisconsin, a 40% chance that West Virginia will be disappointed in Manchin and vote him out and now South Dakota is in play. Pennsylvania is also in play. Lieberman has just announced that he will not run again in Connecticut as well. I’m not yet sure how that plays out for us. Either way, it looks to me like we have better than 50/50 odds of taking control of the Senate. We’re gonna have to fight for it though.
“Farm Belt and Southern voters who prefer a Republican president but have often backed moderate Democrats”
...maybe they’re finally beginning to understand that there is NO such thing as a “moderate Democrat”.
“a 75% chance we will pick up Webb’s seat in Virginia”
...I understand that Webb will announce retirement plans as well.
a 100% of old Benny’s seat here in Nebraska! He’s toast! I expect him to retire.
the battlefield is shaping up and it favors us so far. I hadn’t heard that Webb was retiring until now. I wonder if he’s looking at a Primary run? Either way, that was a seriously close race the last time and the only reason he won was due to incumbent fatigue IMO. That works against him this time. I reckon he knows that if he’s considering retiring.
And that is why Obozo and company worked so fast, they also had the headwinds of their more senior senators literally dying, i.e. Kennedy and Byrd. That is why they had to steal the Franken seat 60 was everything a once in a lifetime deal.
But I'll go out on a limb, I think the Tea Parties could give Sarah 60 or darn near it in 2012.
We need Term Limits on the House of 2 or 3 terms and 1 term in the Senate. Enough of a putz like Levin in Michigan being their for 36 years. This is an addiction to power, their "12 Step" program needs to be a consitutional admendment. Ditto that the repeal of the 17th, lets get them from the State Legislatures again....
It had NOTHING to do with "incumbent fatigue" and EVERYTHING to do with electronic voting machines and vote fraud.
A week or more after the election there was less than .1% or 21-2500 vote difference between the two, out of more than 2.3 million votes cast. There were no recounts as there was nothing there to recount on the machines used in 75% of the districts. Once it was ascertained no fight would ensue, they managed to up the spread to .39%, 9000 votes. Webb "won" nothing.
If it weren’t for Bush fatigue, it wouldn’t have been close enough to pull any BS. The dems had all kinds of good fortune because of Bush Fatigue. Now the tables have turned.
we have a long way to go folks but time is on our side. Wont be easy but fight on!
Bush is gone. All that Bush hatred got maxed out fast. They tried playing the Bush Card last year and they still lost. The Democrats need to get over it.
Where are you hearing that? Webb's retirement would be great news if true.
Paul Ryan would be a great fit there, IMO.
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