at this moment I can’t see her winning general. It all depends on the state of the economy. If theres another 2008 like crash, then her chances will increase alot
What it all boils down to is Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. With the electoral makeup we have, in order for a republican to get to 270, they MUST win 2 out of the 3 of those states. It almost looks like PA isn’t winnable, given the previous 3 elections, so that leaves Ohio and Florida. I don’t see her carrying both of those states, and that means she CAN’T win, barring some sort of miracle or political earthquake of some kind. 0bama carried VA, NC, and a few other traditionally ‘red states’ last time, but I don’t believe he’ll win those again. Those states came back ‘home’ last Tuesday, and the electoral map of 2004 suddenly reemerged.
The ONLY way Palin wins a presidential election is if 0bama and the economy does so badly during the next two years, Donald Duck could win if up against 0bama on the ballot.
Palin is great at rallying the conservative base. She should continue to play that role. As I said before, I really do like her, but I’m a realist. I don’t see her getting to 270.
Unfortunately, I don’t know of any others that are getting the ‘presidential talk’ on the GOP side that are much better off. We need a ‘dark horse’.