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To: 4rcane

What it all boils down to is Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. With the electoral makeup we have, in order for a republican to get to 270, they MUST win 2 out of the 3 of those states. It almost looks like PA isn’t winnable, given the previous 3 elections, so that leaves Ohio and Florida. I don’t see her carrying both of those states, and that means she CAN’T win, barring some sort of miracle or political earthquake of some kind. 0bama carried VA, NC, and a few other traditionally ‘red states’ last time, but I don’t believe he’ll win those again. Those states came back ‘home’ last Tuesday, and the electoral map of 2004 suddenly reemerged.

The ONLY way Palin wins a presidential election is if 0bama and the economy does so badly during the next two years, Donald Duck could win if up against 0bama on the ballot.

Palin is great at rallying the conservative base. She should continue to play that role. As I said before, I really do like her, but I’m a realist. I don’t see her getting to 270.

Unfortunately, I don’t know of any others that are getting the ‘presidential talk’ on the GOP side that are much better off. We need a ‘dark horse’.


52 posted on 11/09/2010 7:09:34 PM PST by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: KoRn

Palin problem is not with the dem, its with rino. The rino hate her guts


59 posted on 11/09/2010 7:24:09 PM PST by 4rcane
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To: KoRn; 4rcane
Palin is great at rallying the conservative base. She should continue to play that role. As I said before, I really do like her, but I’m a realist. I don’t see her getting to 270.

And if you had been around during the time of Reagan you would have said the same thing about him, because many of the GOP elites and the left and the press were saying the same thing.

It was cowardly and short-sighted then, and it is today.
74 posted on 11/09/2010 8:02:13 PM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: KoRn

your math doesn’t add up.

thus your entire conclusion is wrong.


82 posted on 11/09/2010 8:19:08 PM PST by unseen1
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To: KoRn
I wouldn't take Pa. out of the Palin vote just yet. Republicans hit Harrisburg very hard and will change the district map for that.

Interesting also, Pittsburgh is solid blue for the most part yet Beck is going there, as well as Dr. Jeremiah. This would hardly have been imagined possible before the election. Pitts-burg remains in a world of hurt financially and lots of infighting in various councils etc. So I'm not ready to say Pa. won't come around to Palin...after-all Pa. turned red!

117 posted on 11/09/2010 10:59:41 PM PST by caww
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To: KoRn
It almost looks like PA isn’t winnable, given the previous 3 elections, so that leaves Ohio and Florida.

I don't know what you're talking about since Pennsylvania just swung back right, with Republicans pretty much sweeping the board in most of the local elections, with Toomey taking the Senate spot and Corbett winning the governor's office.

126 posted on 11/10/2010 3:16:21 AM PST by Virginia Ridgerunner (Sarah Palin has crossed the Rubicon!)
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