Political Math Favors GOP to Retake Senate in ‘12

Wall Street Journal ^ | November 3, 2010 | Brody Mullins

[pallis]

The Tea Party and conservatives need to celebrate, and get busy fielding candidates to beat RINOs and Demwits in the next one.

[Dan Nunn]

Just the luck of the draw for when the Senate seats are up. If we had more midwestern seats up yesterday, majority would have been a no-brainer.

[GOPsterinMA]

Amen! YellowSnowe from Maine needs to be attacked as if she was the devil on earth. Yes, she’s up in 2012.

[tndarlin]

As I keep telling my friends who are upset about the senate today, this is just one battle, the war continues!

[Lazlo in PA]

This is what a few have argued for a year. That is why +6 this cycle is huge. Now that people see they can do it, Rand Paul types will start gearing up for the next wave.

We can destroy this progressive elitist cancer in 2 cycles if we are efficient.

[MAexile]

Scott Brown will be up in 2012, too. That could be tough, given last night’s results.

[AGreatPer]

Redistricting will be a hugh factor in 2012.

[rwfromkansas]

A likely loss, but nice to have now.

[paladinan]

I agree. Morally and purist-wise, last night was disappointing on several fronts (e.g. Christine O’Donnell, Sharon Angle, Harry Reid, etc.); but not only did we get rid of MANY culture-of-death-addicts (e.g. Feingold, etc.), but there are enough “key liberal players” in key positions—coupled with righteous anger at the (*ahem*) “less than above-board” results (I think especially of Rove’s sabotage of Christine O’Donnell, the underhanded garbage with Joe Miller, etc.) that it’ll keep people from becoming too complacent. It’ll also help to disarm any nascent “counter-counter-revolution” that the libs might’ve been trying to build up in the wake of 2012. Disappointing, but bodes well for the future.

[GOPsterinMA]

Right. It would be nice if gerrymandering could result in at least one of the Maine CD’s going GOP.

There’s still some hope for Maine, just like NH.

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

The New Yorkers get another shot at Gillibrand. I hope they can do better than yesterday’s pitiful job! California needs to be sawed off so it can float away, or maybe have the Big One.

[GOPsterinMA]

He’s gone. I thought he was before last night, now I know he is after last night.

A Kennedy or Deval Patrick win the seat in 2012. Done deal.

[LowTaxesEqualsProsperity]

Redistricting has NO effect on the Senate, which are statewide offices.

Redistricting only affects House members.

[Alberta's Child]

I think Brody Mullins (the author of this article) read my posts on this very issue over the last 18 hours. LOL.

He and I even agree on the most vulnerable Democrats in 2012.

[deport]

Redistricting only affects House members.

---

All the more reason that the upcoming redistricting will be a huge factor in the House elections in 2012.

[deport]

Class 1 Senators who's term expires in Jan. 2013.

Democrats

Republicans

Akaka, Daniel K. (D-HI) Bingaman, Jeff (D-NM) Brown, Sherrod (D-OH) Cantwell, Maria (D-WA) Cardin, Benjamin L. (D-MD) Carper, Thomas R. (D-DE) Casey, Robert P., Jr. (D-PA) Conrad, Kent (D-ND) Feinstein, Dianne (D-CA) Gillibrand, Kirsten E. (D-NY) Goodwin, Carte P. (D-WV) Klobuchar, Amy (D-MN) Kohl, Herb (D-WI) McCaskill, Claire (D-MO) Menendez, Robert (D-NJ) Nelson, Ben (D-NE) Nelson, Bill (D-FL) Stabenow, Debbie (D-MI) Tester, Jon (D-MT) Webb, Jim (D-VA) Whitehouse, Sheldon (D-RI)

Barrasso, John (R-WY) Brown, Scott P. (R-MA) Corker, Bob (R-TN) Ensign, John (R-NV) Hatch, Orrin G. (R-UT) Hutchison, Kay Bailey (R-TX) Kyl, Jon (R-AZ) Lugar, Richard G. (R-IN) Snowe, Olympia J. (R-ME) Wicker, Roger F. (R-MS) Independents Lieberman, Joseph I. (ID-CT) Sanders, Bernard (I-VT)

[personalaccts]

Cornyn? That’s all we need

[EDINVA]

It’s going to take three full election cycles if we are to turn around the ship of state. The people who made yesterday happen have to stay engaged, not return to hibernation. Not only can we do it, we have to do it.

[tndarlin]

Hell Yeah!