Posted on 11/02/2010 4:30:17 PM PDT by Tribune7
It’s very early, but the bellwether races of IN-2 and KY-6 look good for the GOP so far. IN-2′s Jackie Walorksi is over 60 percent with 4 percent in (all GOP counties, but she’s running even with Dan Coats, who’s wiping out Ellsworth in the state’s U.S. Senate race), and Andy Barr is running even with Chandler in KY-6. I picked both of these districts to flip parties, and if that happens, it’s a sign that +60 or more is the new baseline.
Update: Chandler now ahead of Barr 54-46, but no idea of where the votes are coming from in that district.
Also watching IN-9. Supposed to be a toss-up. GOP candidate up by 13 points with 15% of the voted counted.
Bar is behind on Fox news ticker. Here’s hoping NRO has later data.
Nope. Not looking good. Chandler is now winning big. Donnelly still has big D precincts out too.
KY-6 is always under ‘lead Democrat’, isn’t it?
KY-6 should go Dem. Why are we watching it?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/ky/kentucky_6th_district_barr_vs_chandler-1349.html
Too busy watching IN-9!
KY-6 is 50.1 to 49.9 for Chandler right now.
KY-6 flips depending on the candidate. Ernie Fletcher held the district before he ran for Governor. Chandler is the grandson of a very popular former governor and leans more conservative than your average Dem. He is, however in trouble because of his support for Obamacare which is extremely unpopular in KY.
I will go look at the precincts reporting, but if all of the Lexington and Versailles precincts are in while Scott county and the more rural areas are still outstanding, Barr has a chance.
KY6 difference ( as of 11:28pm EDT) is 650 votes. Considering that there are precincts in Lincoln county (which will go Republican) and all of Madison County outstanding, I’d say Barr has a chance. Madison county could easily go 50/50.
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