[ScottinVA]

Delaware state Election Commission rep. Elaine Manlove reports 11,650 absentee ballots submitted as of yesterday. This is more than the state normally receives for a midterm election, she said. 5,175 - 44% - from Democrats. 4,458 - 38% - from Republicans. 2,017 - 18% - from independents.

This is actually pretty encouraging, if national trends of Indies switching to the GOP hold in DE.

[smoothsailing]

The Independents are crucial to an O’Donnell win, that’s for sure. Looks like she needs 70%+ of the Indy vote.

[truthfreedom]

It’s +12 over registered voters in DE.

The poll with Christine down by 10 was +12.

That was the better of the 2 polls. We don’t know if election day results will track with absentees, we don’t know if the polls are right (this one gave Christine the advantage with Indies, but only 71% R, the other one gave 76% R)

The action on the ground is all Christine, if that’s any indication. Her rally was 1,000+ (some might’ve expected Palin, to undersell that rally) The Biden / Coons rally was 200 at most.

In terms of facebook, which might turn out to be a very good enthusiasm gauge, Christine has always had the lead in number of fans, but over the last weeks, days, even hours, Christine is accelerating way past Coons on that measure.

Since midnight, Christine has gotten 201 “likes” and Coons has got 18.

So, on measures of intensity which can drive turnout, Christine certainly seems to have the more passionate supporters.