Posted on 11/02/2010 7:36:13 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA
Voter turnout is reportedly higher than normal, shocking polls workers across the Lehigh Valley area who were not expecting much interest in races for key positions like senator in Washington, D.C., and governor in Harrisburg.
In Allentown's mostly Democratic 7th Ward, Gus Kruz, the judge of elections, was seeing high interest in voting already a few minutes after polls opened at 7 a.m. Although not a large district, a dozen people had already voted in the 7th Ward by 7:15 a.m. At that point, Kruz couldn't predict if more Democrats would come out than Republicans.
The same was true in Bethlehem's 15th ward, 2nd district at the Education Center on Sycamore St. There' Craig Hynes, judge of elections, said he's seen crisp turnout. By 7:45 a.m., 66 voters had cast ballots despite mechanical problems with two of three machines, including one that had to be placed prior to the polls opening.
(Excerpt) Read more at mcall.com ...
Question is whether these are Dem voters who always pull the D-lever or unemployed D voters who know there is a better way.
I truly believe that they are... I heard a union man say this morning where I voted (he was wearing an IBEW T-shirt), “Where is the ‘throw all of the bums out’ button”?
LLS
A couple weeks ago I think it was Gallup that released two models:
High turnout = GOP wins big
Low turnout = GOP wins HUGE
Anyone remember seeing that?
Let me remind everyone that here in southern OH, our "turnout" models caused us to be optimistic about McCain, that if our base just "turned out," he'd have a chance. Well, it did, and he didn't. One-fourth of deeply red precincts went for Obama in 2008.
So, I concluded that it ISN'T about "turnout," it's about HOW THOSE WHO TURN OUT VOTE!
I remember seeing that as well.
High, I would think. If the person actually shows up to vote, there is a chance they will vote GOP. If they don’t show up and the normal routine of voting for them occurs, it is a guaranteed Dim vote.
My main concern is about the Philadelphia fraud that happens every year. Governor Rendel was bragging on radio that he thinks the enthusiasm gap is more narrow in Pennsylvania and that RATS will come out to vote in bigger numbers than pollsters are saying. It sounds like he is setting us up for the fraud vote to steal the election.
I live in a city of 25,000. Normally I vote on my way to my 2nd shift job. I decided to vote after my shower this morning. Good thing. There wasn’t enough voting booths. I heard one say they never seen it like this before. They have more votes in that precinct now then they normally do all day.
I personally know of 3 dems who said they are not going to vote. I met a man getting ready to vote and I know he is a republican.
That said, the senate will likely go in proportion to the house. At least that's the way the math has worked historically.
I’m in the Philly suburbs, but I’m not too worried about NBP thugs. Our cops have a reputation for zero tolerance for outside troublemakers. Any NBP thugs who cause problems will find themselves on the ground, cuffed, hauled off, and locked up faster than you can say “Eric Holder”.
This was the case at my polling precinct, as well. I voted at 7:45 A, and I was the 90th person to vote. Usually I’m # 10 or so.
Yep, that's what I'm referring to. But see posts #6, 8, 16 and 27 for a different perspective.
Voted around 11 AM (PA-15 Dent’s district). They said it had been steady, about 100 per hour.
In 2008, I went about the same time to vote and the line was about 60-70 long to get in. Much lighter this year.
If you hear that turnout is light in Phila., you know what the outcome will be.
Just got a txt from my buddy watching a poll in SW Philly. He said turnout is way down. This is good news. He’s a good guy and isn’t afraid to mix it up.
Turnout in my mostly-conservative Philly suburb was pretty good. I was #50 at 7:25 this morning. (polls opened at 7)
There were GOP reps in the parking lot, but no dem reps. First time I’ve seen that.
Election officials showed up and re-calibrated the machines.
The problem is (allegedly) fixed.
“...shocking polls workers across the Lehigh Valley area who were not expecting much interest in races for key positions...”
They must be clueless Democrats.
During a midterm .... the out party usually benefits from the larger turnout......that’s why out party usually gains seats during a midterm...higher turnout should benefit repubs.
The poor Dem looked near tears.
This is Pa7 or Admiral Joe's district.
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