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Gallup's Advice for Dems: Duck and Cover
The Wall Street Journal ^ | 11-02-10 | JOHN FUND

Posted on 11/01/2010 6:31:01 PM PDT by GOP_Lady

There are going to be surprises Election Day....

How tall will the Republican wave be tomorrow? Two leading political analysts for Gallup have gone through the House races and drawn up what they call the most pessimistic scenario for the GOP. Even so, Republicans end up taking 38 net House seats from Democrats, putting them one seat short of control. Their most optimistic scenario for Republicans is a GOP gain of 90 seats.

Impossible? Seasoned Washingtonians don't think so. For 60 years, Gallup has released an amazingly accurate final pre-election poll showing which party is favored by "likely voters." It has never been in error by more than two percentage points. Last night, Gallup's final survey found Republicans with a 15-point advantage, 55% to 40%.

Gallup analysts Jeffrey Jones and Lydia Saad conclude their pre-election analysis this way: "This year's 15-point gap in favor of the Republican candidates among likely voters is unprecedented in Gallup polling and could result in the largest Republican margin in House voting in several generations. This means that seat projections have moved into uncharted territory, in which past relationships between the national two-party vote and the number of seats won may not be maintained."

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fund; wsj
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1 posted on 11/01/2010 6:31:09 PM PDT by GOP_Lady
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To: 506Lake; AdvisorB; afraidfortherepublic; antivenom; angry elephant; Bernard; Blonde; ...


To be added or removed from the
"The Wall Street Journal" Ping List,
FReepmail
GOP_Lady.

2 posted on 11/01/2010 6:31:55 PM PDT by GOP_Lady
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To: GOP_Lady

To all Democratic staff personnel, polish up those resumes kids.


3 posted on 11/01/2010 6:33:57 PM PDT by jpf (me in 2012.)
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To: GOP_Lady

They can’t duck and cover from the Tea Party bomb about to explode on their heads. They are going to go under in another 3 elections if we have anything to do with it. Can anyone says Whigs?


4 posted on 11/01/2010 6:37:53 PM PDT by DebraAI
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To: GOP_Lady

Prayers up for tomorrow. We actually stand a chance to bounce the obama clone steve cohen in Memphis, TN...he has already closed his campaign HQ, while Ms. Bergmann is still out pounding the pavement. Her interview on AM 600 went well tonight.


5 posted on 11/01/2010 6:38:52 PM PDT by GailA (obamacare paid for by cuts & taxes on most vulnerable Veterans, retired Military, disabled & Seniors)
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To: GailA

BHO will have much less power after tomorrow. :-)


6 posted on 11/01/2010 6:40:33 PM PDT by GOP_Lady
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To: GOP_Lady
A majority will be meaningless if they act like the ‘Rat Socialists. Just sayin.
7 posted on 11/01/2010 6:46:20 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (Throw the bums out who vote yes on the bailout)
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To: GOP_Lady

A little surprised that the low end still has us coming up short.


8 posted on 11/01/2010 6:48:23 PM PDT by paul544
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To: GOP_Lady
-—Last night, Gallup's final survey found Republicans with a 15-point advantage, 55% to 40%.-—

Okay, I'm a little bit slower than regular folks, but explain to me why, after the dems sold us down the river - with fanfare no less - are not stuck in single digits.

9 posted on 11/01/2010 6:49:56 PM PDT by MichaelCorleone
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To: GOP_Lady

We’re coming for you!


10 posted on 11/01/2010 6:50:15 PM PDT by Tzimisce (No thanks. We have enough government already. - The Tick)
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To: Tzimisce

In the last paragraph of the above article it says that interviews were conducted with 10 Dem pollsters who came to the conclusion that those dems that are tied will lose tomorrow and those that are just a few points ahead will also lose due to the wave.

It’s been a long 2 years — actually 4 years since he started campaigning in 2006. Can’t wait for him to go to India for a month so we can all have a break.


11 posted on 11/01/2010 6:53:27 PM PDT by bunster
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To: MichaelCorleone

Those who benefit, however short term, from the socialism, vote Dem.

Those to whom abortion is a sacrament vote Dem.

Those who are fixated on their personal sexual perversion vote Dem.

I guess that totals about 40%.


12 posted on 11/01/2010 6:59:41 PM PDT by Persevero (Homeschooling for Excellence since 1992)
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To: GOP_Lady
Photobucket
13 posted on 11/01/2010 7:03:19 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Just another white boy riding in the back of the bus next to the Emergency Exit.)
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To: GOP_Lady

I dont think we will get 90. 60-80 is probably right.,


14 posted on 11/01/2010 7:04:51 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote
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To: GlockThe Vote

I’m going with 117.


15 posted on 11/01/2010 7:07:38 PM PDT by Godebert
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To: MichaelCorleone

If you knew a liberal you would know why


16 posted on 11/01/2010 7:11:07 PM PDT by MNDude (Ask the Native American's how their "Open Borders" policy worked out for them.)
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To: Godebert

I am predicting over a 100 seat pickup. There are a lot of House races not on the national radar. For example, Massachusetts alone may have 4-6 of its 10 seats go to the GOP and nobody at the national level seems to be seeing it.


17 posted on 11/01/2010 7:11:29 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 30 days away from outliving Curly Howard)
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To: SamAdams76

MA-10, almost certainly. Frank’s seat, maybe. Probably no others IMHO.


18 posted on 11/01/2010 7:40:38 PM PDT by RockinRight (if the choice is between Crazy and Commie, I choose Crazy.)
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To: bunster
Can’t wait for him to go to India for a month so we can all have a break.

Speaking of duck and cover - a trip to India will get Great Leader away from Washington for a while - my cynical (and conspiritorial) mind thinks, 'what if'? As in, what if there is a terrorist strike that those in high places know is on the way, and a new congress is not yet sworn in and the lame ducks are on the way out? Sizeable chaos in the leadership department would create a vacuum of considerable proportions and who could return just in time to impose just about anything he wanted?
19 posted on 11/01/2010 8:07:01 PM PDT by AD from SpringBay (We deserve the government we allow.)
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To: GOP_Lady
Excuse me, Gallup has lost any and all creditability with me.

There job is to report, as accurately as possible, what is going on not to offer Democrats advice.

If one or more of their employees want to do that job then they need to leave Gallup and go independent.

Then, they could purchase the raw data and make their own conclusions and then sell it to the progressive/liberal/socialist/dimocrat/RINO of their choice.

Gallup, another institution that has become a tainted business because they became part of the democratic cabal.

20 posted on 11/01/2010 8:10:06 PM PDT by Nip
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