Election Eve Rasmussen 12% lead for GOP : Generic Ballot Rep 51% Dems 39%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | Rasmussen

[Tennessean4Bush]

The Republicans taking the Senate is impossible. Brazen words for a guy who is about as accurate as the Zoltan carnival game. Scotty Rass is about to be neutered much like Zogby was after 2004.

Rasmussen is dead-on accurate. He says GOP +12 and Gallup says GOP +15. He sees the data in a dispassionate way and reports like an analyst should - with no bias. I heard the same segment on Hannity and he did not say impossible. He was predicting 6-8 if I remember correctly.

Look, we all know that unless Rossi puts 3-5% of a cushion he will get wiped out in King County. They will find the votes necessary. In California, it will be razor thin - the Dems have a huge registered voter advantage. Angle in NV is right on the bubble of putting enough cushion in place to keep fraud from putting Reid over the top. Kirk in IL needs about a 4-5% cushion as well. The fraud in Chicago is well-documented. I am hoping this surge on election day will put these close Senate races over the top and safe from fraud, but I am not holding my breath. I just wish this year the Dem seats for the Senate had not been so concentrated on the coasts in Blue states.

[Retired Greyhound]

Another BS poll designed to keep folks home.

Just go vote.

[BigEdLB]

And FOX had their own separate one last Fri 50-37 R.

[dead]

I keep hearing the leftist talking heads on FoxNews and elsewhere saying "This is an anti-incumbent mood sweeping the country..."

Is there a single prominent Republican (comparable to Harry Reid, or Patty Murray or Bawney Frank) facing possible ejection from office tomorrow? I don't mean the offices we're we traded up to conservatives in the primary. They (Crist, Mulkowski, etc.) have already lost.

If there are any, are they conservative or moderate/liberal Republican?

It's not anti-incumbent. It's anti-marxist.

[crosslink]

This would probably mean any Dem tied or up to about 10% ahead in polls is toast. There are going to be a lot of shocks tomorrow night, Oooooh CNN ought to be a laugh aminute tomorrow night.

I have three DVR’s that hold 22 hours, I plan to have them on MSNBC,CNN and NBC. I will watch Fox live and look forward to many hours of laughs.

[crosslink]

They lead by 20 among senior citizens and by 31 among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

If this is true and the Dems stay home they easily could blow out a Dem with a 10 point lead. These two groups will vote and vote in big numbers. remember it was not young people who gave the Presidency to the one it was old people.

[conejo99]

There's something I never understood. I believe the Democrats have a significant fraud vote in every election, but shouldn't that already be factored into the polling models.
I would think the pollsters would compare their predictions and data with the reported results and adjust the model to the reality reflected in the final vote tallies.
Wouldn't they adjust regardless of whether the final vote is actual people voting of a mix of actual people and manufactured fraudulent votes?

[devolve]

[reagan_fanatic]

The dims are gonna come out of Tuesday’s election feeling a bit like one of Chuck Norris’s adversaries after a fight.

[NorCoGOP]

Welcome to

N O V E M B E R

The second American Revolution is here!

[potlatch]

A hurricane has been predicted for the democrats.

[potlatch]

We are the ones we’ve been waiting for !

How appropriate! Lol. How neat to use Obama's words to apply to US, right NOW!

[MIchaelTArchangel]

I have a Beach Boys CD in my commuter car. One of the songs is Wipeout! I think I will play that song on my stereo at home about midnight tonight just to annoy the far-left loons down the street from me.

[Tennessean4Bush]

Valium.

Take some.

Your family will thank you for it.

[JohnBovenmyer]

The odd thing is Obama Presidential approval rating (strong approved less strong disapproved) has climbed back to -11 today. It’s been as low as -23 this fall. I’m not sure how he’s keeping it that high.

[fortheDeclaration]

Agreed.

They know that these numbers show a blowout of epic proportions, but they are afraid to be honest about it, lest they discourage the Democrat base.

[fortheDeclaration]

Exactly!

[cookcounty]

Safe Seat Math. Factor in the math that a high number of Democrat "safe seats" tend to be "utter blowout" seats, i.e., many of them literally are 80-90% Democrat. That understates the GOP strength in terms of actual results, because the GOP vote is significantly less concentrated.

On the other hand, there are no candidates by the name of "Generic," people tend to like their own Congressman more than they like the Congress generally, and most incumbents are Democrats, so maybe these two facts cancel each other out.

[devolve]

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- Heavy-Duty snorting at the WH this week -

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