Posted on 10/28/2010 10:34:38 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
Republican Dino Rossi and incumbent Democrat Patty Murray are separated by a single point in the U.S. Senate race in Washington with less than a week until Election Day.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Rossi picking up 48% of the vote, while Murray draws support from 47%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Look out Dino!...Don’t let that Tennis Shoe Idiot pull a Gregoire on you!!!
WOW! He’s peaking at the right time. Too bad 1% is not outside the King County MOF.
Beware of Democrat cheating. Probably the first thing a Republican House of Representatives should do is investigate this election.
Assuming an honest election, of course. Pollsters don’t usually sample voters who are prohibited by law from voting, such as illegal aliens, felons and the dead, all of whom are active in the Washington state electorate.
It’s an improvement.
DOOM
The elections are 5 days away and Murray, a long time senator cannot even clear the magic 50% level?
This spells trouble for Patty.
History tells us that undecideds inevitably break AGAINST the more well known incumbent by 80% when he/she cannot clear 50%.
I’d like to add that Rossi has been very unfortunate in his past attempts to hold elected office.
In 2004, he was certified as governor-elect before losing a second hand recount to Democrat Christine Gregoire.
If the GOP is not vigilant, IT MIGHT HAPPEN TO HIM AGAIN in 2010.
The pollsters will have to put out honest polls now. Their reputations are on the line.
I think Rossi will win.
You are making a lot of sense.
Enthusiasm and turnout will be key for any race within five points.
More importantly, bad news for the Dims leading up to Tuesday will likely demotivate Dim voters and motivate Republican voters.
Rossi needs to extend to about 3 or 4 %. King county (Seattlegrad) has a way of “finding” boxes of uncounted votes when Rossi wins.
A pick up of the WA and WVA seats will give the GOP +10 seats. I expect a takeover of the Senate on Tuesday. 52-48 GOP.
Couldn’t agree with you more.
The beginnings of the tsunami will begin with an earthquake in the early returns from Indiana and Kentucky. Keep an eye out on the margins in congressional districts and compare them to the 2006 midterms.
Personally, I’m tuning in Michael Barone as he is a Guru at dissecting early returns and is a political genius IMO.
Of course Ras has Manchin ahead by 3 in West Virginia, a point many are conveniently forgetting when trumpetting the WA results here. :)
I still think the R will beat Manchin there due to a likely inaccurate representative sample, but I notice the bad polls get ignored here, even if they are from Ras.
As we know, the GOP needs to gain 10 seats to achieve a majority in the U.S. Senate. The following states are all shaping up to be Republican pick-ups on November 2nd:
Arkansas
Colorado
Illinois
Indiana
Nevada
North Dakota
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
That makes eight seats, which means we need to pick up at least two of the three following toss-up races:
California
Washington
West Virginia
Washington and West Virginia in particular seem to be our best bets. California is still in play, though Boxer does seem to be pulling ahead somewhat in the latest polls. However, she still remains under 50% which is considered vulnerable for an incumbent candidate five days prior to an election.
Meanwhile, I haven’t completely written off Connecticut or Delaware yet for the GOP, though admittedly we would probably need a small miracle to pull out either of those races.
Bottom line... I think 10 seats are still very attainable and I’m going to make one more donation for Dino Rossi and John Raese right now!
Talk about “enthusiasm” and “peaking” I think that as the tsunami of turnout numbers and results come pouring in from the east coast westward, the Dims will be extremely depressed and in “don’t give a damn” mode while the polls are still open in Calif. and Wash. This could give both Fiorina and Rossi the edge they need. Expect the lamestream mediots to paint as rosy of a picture as possible during the day Tuesday in order to help Calif and Wash Dems. If it were reversed, they would do everything to depress the Republican vote.
With that being said, Washington largely a vote by mail state and a lot of the ballots have probably already been cast. I’m not sure the percentage of voters that are mail-in vs. non mail-in but I know that I actually walk in and cast a vote on election day.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.