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The Crystal Ball’s Final Calls (GOP Gains: +55 for House, +8 for Senate +8-9 Governors)
Center for Politics ^ | 10/28/10 | Larry J. Sabato

Posted on 10/28/2010 5:49:03 AM PDT by randita

click here to read article


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To: pointsal

democrat fraud going to be like a f*rt in a hurricane this time


21 posted on 10/28/2010 6:16:15 AM PDT by stickywillie
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To: stickywillie

55 is very low. More like 70.


22 posted on 10/28/2010 6:16:38 AM PDT by Galtoid ( .)
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To: randita

Sabato is cautious. He is not a right-wing ideologue. His numbers are the absolute minimum that we can expect.


23 posted on 10/28/2010 6:16:55 AM PDT by jimfree (In 2012 Sarah Palin will continue to have more relevant quality executive experience than B. Obama.)
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To: randita

Since Larry the wig second source of income comes from Demmies, my guess is he is lowballing to insure continued cash flow from dead Demmies who still think they have a chance. Just my opinion. Larry is a sleezeball Dem here in VA.


24 posted on 10/28/2010 6:22:29 AM PDT by equalitybeforethelaw
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To: randita

Way to low. We are going to do much better than what he is predicating.


25 posted on 10/28/2010 6:22:37 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: randita
I agree with the TN governor's race. Halsam is polling 2-1.

VOTE LIKE IT'S 1776 LIBERTY & FREEDOM DEPEND ON IT!

BOOTS ON THE GROUND

TIME FOR YOU TO GO

WE THE PEOPLE BY RAY STEVENS

WHEN AMERICA IS NOT AMERICA ANY MORE

Dr. David Janda explains rationing (obamacare)

Listen to Krauthammer on Omamacare impact on the USA, (you have to put up with the commercial)

26 posted on 10/28/2010 6:22:46 AM PDT by GailA (obamacare paid for by cuts & taxes on most vulnerable Veterans, retired Military, disabled & Seniors)
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To: jimfree

Sabato is cautious. He is not a right-wing ideologue. His numbers are the absolute minimum that we can expect.

**********************

What interested me was that despite a relatively modest Republican gain in the house, he projects what is pretty much an optimum figure for the xenate. Senators are hard to take down.


27 posted on 10/28/2010 6:22:48 AM PDT by Psalm 144
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To: heiss

They did field a good candidate in O’Donnell, she saved us from Castle.


28 posted on 10/28/2010 6:23:29 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: goldstategop
No one in MA likes Deval Patrick. They can’t simply stand him.

Ah but they despise Regnantons there which is why Patrick set up Cahill... to tap off votes from Charlie Baker. I fear Cadillac Duval will win with a plurality.

29 posted on 10/28/2010 6:23:40 AM PDT by rhombus
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To: Psalm 144

One loss I think the GOP will have in CA gov. Not that Arnold was really a GOP, but I can’t see Meg Whitman pulling this off. I really thought she was a pretty good candidate for CA.

I do think Carly will squeek out a win... I hope.


30 posted on 10/28/2010 6:26:34 AM PDT by Reagan69 (Let me know when those health insurance premiums go down.)
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To: randita
Sabato is going off of RCP averages and polls. What he is not considering, is the fact that historically, about a third or less of the population actually votes for President and fewer yet, vote during the midterms.

The potential for an Iraq like election where 85% of the adult voting age public goes to the polls is always a possibility.

If the American people are angry enough at how they are being lied to by MaObama, the Democrats and the Media, particularly, they see the real truth about this economy, it will be Democrat road kill. This thing has the potential to set a new historical record.

31 posted on 10/28/2010 6:27:01 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP ( Give me Liberty, or give me an M-24A2!)
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To: jimfree

Si why do the MSM’s ABCNNBCBS not see this? Why are they not “expecting” 50-60 repubbie house seats, and laughing at Pelosi’s propaganda?

8<)


32 posted on 10/28/2010 6:27:05 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: goldstategop

Dick *head* Durbin might disagree with schuck replacing Reid


33 posted on 10/28/2010 6:28:09 AM PDT by slapshot ("Were not gonna take it anymore" Twisted Sister)
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To: equalitybeforethelaw

You obviously have a higher opinion of him than I do here in the Commonwealth.


34 posted on 10/28/2010 6:28:37 AM PDT by 103198
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To: randita
Put your expert hat on. Do you agree or disagree? And why?

If Obama continues to campaign it could go up substantially. He has a reverse effect on this election. When he tries to stir up his base, the right becomes more aroused.

35 posted on 10/28/2010 6:30:07 AM PDT by CharacterCounts (November 4, 2008 - the day America drank the Kool-Aid)
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To: randita

I hope he is on the low side. I’d really like to see the Senate go Republican.

Anyone see Drudge’s report on the Gallup poll? 55% are vote or lean Republican—the HIGHEST for any party since before 1992.

If this holds, it’ll truly be a tidal wave—and we could see Coons and Boxer and Murray go overboard as well.

Pray, work, vote.


36 posted on 10/28/2010 6:32:36 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: 103198
Whoops! I forgot the </sarcasm>
37 posted on 10/28/2010 6:33:00 AM PDT by 103198
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To: wilco200

From your lips to God’s ears.


38 posted on 10/28/2010 6:34:14 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: randita
My best guess is 65 in the house and 7-9 in the senate.

Linda Muclusky or whatever her name is, will lose in AK.

If we can get 9 in the Senate, I expect to see a demonrat “Jumping Jim Jeffords” by March of 2011. Rats hate to have little power, and a ‘jumper’ will gain tons of it.

39 posted on 10/28/2010 6:41:15 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Free Republic -- One stop shopping ....... It's the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: randita

55 in the House is probably near the bottom of what is likely. My view is that 50 is the floor.

I think that 60 is more likely than 55, but probably also a little more likely than 70.

However, if Republican-leaning voters are as fired up as some polls suggest, 80 or 90 wouldn’t be surprising.

I’m betting 55 - 65. My younger son says 70 is the floor. My older son says, well, if the Republicans weren’t the stupid party, they’d get 70, so they’ll likely only get 50. I point out that if the Republicans weren’t the stupid party, they’d get 100+.

In the Senate - I’m still hoping for 9 or 10, but 8 may be more realistic.

Governorships - Haven’t followed them at all closely.


40 posted on 10/28/2010 6:49:11 AM PDT by sitetest ( If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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